My takeaway from Trump's address last night is not that Trump made a case for federal control of elections, but that he made the case for 50 states (or even 18 swing states)to continue keeping their own individual control. Why? It is far more difficult to control the mechanics of the vote, including the counting and casting methods, by dealing with 50 separate systems and state laws, especially if bipartisan or public eyes are a part of the process, than it is if the methods are in one federal hand.
Trump's threat is that he will ignore the states' results and seize control of the ballots or other evidence post-election day using force (ICE, FBI, National Guard?) if necessary, destroying any credible chain of evidence that partisan hands tinkered or did not tinker with the evidence.. In the name of voter integrity,, Trump's actions would destroy their integrity.
Some, like Tom Rogers, have recently expressed fears that the anger of street demonstrators that resulted would then give Trump the rationale to declare a national emergency and bring in the troops to take over. Bye-bye, democracy, as the 2026 midterms are overturned. That is a scenario that is not far-fetched, given Trump's past attempts, stopped by his military aides and the Joint Chiefs, in his first term during the George Floyd/Lafayette Square unrests. He wanted to call in the military to shoot the demonstrators in the legs.https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/msnbc-founder-tom-rogers-trump-130000874.html
The fragmentation of election rules that are supervised at the county level in any case, makes it very difficult to rig or fix an election for state or presidential elections. A good example of that is that three county clerks in Colorado followed Trump's orders to "secure" the ballots, meaning only Trump minions could control them for his benefit and tinkering, locking them up away from bipartisan eyes...All three were removed from supervising elections by the state's Secretary of State. One of those clerks who attempted a cover-up, Tina Peters, became Trump's poster child of approval for doing that despite her being sent to prison for violating state laws designed to prevent that act, convicted by a jury and losing her appeals.. Even then, one county like hers did not make a difference in the statewide or presidential electoral count. It is feared Trump will try to do that on a much wider scale, nationwide, using a pretext of suspicion without evidence to justify such seizures or on his orders..
Any evidence that even Russia tried to use active measures to support Trump in 2020 while simultaneously China tried to achieve the opposite is not in doubt. That either succeeded in hacking or breaking into the mechanics of the vote is without evidence and reported so by Trump's own intelligence services and directors in charge when Trump was their boss. There is a difference between foreign actors and illegal voters trying active measures and actually tinkering with the mechanics and methods that changed the outcome that those bad actors wanted. Thanks to diffused 50 state systems, they failed to change the outcome.
Protecting those who are in charge of the ballots is the most important factor in determining whether the elections are fair and free. 98 percent of ballots cast are cast on paper by hand (all mail-in ballots and all in polling places in Colorado are on paper) If a mechanical machine is used, there is a printout of their vote on a machine given to the voter, for the record,, and therefore subject to verification by ninjas and interminable audits by officials per their own state rules and regulations. Those have been ongoing for 6 years, and still no evidence has been found that would have changed any outcome in 2020 or 2024.
The ultimate potential interference in any election is who controls the paper handwritten or printout of those ballots post-election day., as well as other physical evidence. One party ordering armed federal agents under the control of that party is not to be trusted, no matter which political party it is. However, that is what the Trump administration is trying to make a case for by whipping up public sentiment with reports of attempts by foreign actors or non-citizens to spread their propaganda. Still, there is no evidence they hacked the voting and tabulation systems or changed the outcome.John Ratcliffe, former director of national intelligence under Trump and now director of the CIA. in Trump II,. He is in the position to know and he ought to trestify to Congress under oath.. Getting voting lists? No hacking needed; just look online or order and pay for it from a service. The actual systems were the same and in place in both elections. The only difference is that Trump lost in 2020 and won in 2024.
There will be many loyal MAGA who will accept what Trump claimed as the gospel truth and never give it another thought or question it. So ask yourselves, MAGA, when Trump won in 2024, the election went just fine even though nothing had changed regarding the mechanics of voting systems. In fact, his opponents were in power at that time. The only difference was that in 2020 Trump lost, and in 2024 he won.
There will be many voices objecting to Trump's "address" to the country last night and calling out his lies. Whether MAGA preferred press reports them will be interesting to observe.
For data on 98% ov votes already are cast on paper or with a paper trail,
Felicia Muftic is a former Denver elections official.