Friday, September 6, 2013

Should US foreign policy be shaped by public opinion alone? The writers of the Constitution did not think so.



 I sit in wonder at the wisdom of those who drew up our Constitution.  They believed the right structure for our democracy should be representative, not direct. They realized that there are details of government that should not be left to the masses, and in those days of  lack of education, access to special knowledge and parochial views were characteristics of the general public , so they put  ultimate war powers in the hands of a wiser Congress.Later, Congress gave the President the power to take action temporarily before consulting Congress.  On the other hand, the elected representatives still  had the duty to represent their constituencies, even though their personal judgments may have differed. 
That tension, between Washington legislators  and their constituents  is playing out now in the Syria debate as public opinion has jelled to oppose any intervention and many Congresspeople are sitting on the fence. It will take some profiles in courage for any of them  to buck public opinion.
I for one am usually skeptical  of both the unquestioned wisdom of our leaders and of  public opinion, but in this case, I am also aware that emotions of recent events cannot be the sole determinant and  override the enlightened rationality  of many leaders in Washington when it comes to shaping and  conducting  foreign policy. That is  especially true when all but less than 30%  of the public have been paying little attention and are just waking up to where Syria is and what is going on there. We can fault our education system or our preoccupation with daily struggles or an ideology  or media inattention ,   but often our  view of  world history  is limited to  just this side of recent events.
I remember public opposition to intervention in the Balkans in the 1990’s , but most of the public could not identify Kosovo or Bosnia  on the map nor could they grasp its complex history. Nonetheless, we look back at US limited action there as a success   even with our airplanes zooming to targets  at  the same moment the  Senate voted against it. 
 The public’s lack  of trust in the President’s or Washington’s  leadership, as Peggy Noonan asserted in a recent Wall Street Journal  column, is due to his perceived failures in  handling the Arab Spring.  But this lack of trust is  not just five years old. It is also a product of   decisions of the Bush administration that got us into Iraq and Afghanistan, bolstered by a public that only wanted to “get” someone, anyone,  for bringing down the World Trade Center towers.
The current war weariness and  anti war sentiment is also kin to the disillusionment of the public nearer the end of the Viet Nam war..  Public opinion was “gung  ho” at the beginning, remember? Or remember in the wake of World War I, our isolationist popular opinion pressured FDR  to sit back while Hitler blitzed England and rolled across  Europe.
Ah, you say. In some cases the administration lied to us.  No doubt that explains why so many in Congress this time  have been made privy to classified information and only but the most extreme feel the intelligence about Assad’s role in the gassing  is a lie. Besides, limited action being proposed in Syria is not boots on the ground as it was in Iraq, World War I or II, or Viet Nam, either .It is more like our Balkan intervention motivated by outrage at the   human suffering at the hands of perpetrators of ethnic cleansing.
Will we wait until Assad or some other rogue nation thinks they can get away with use of chemical weapons or ethnic cleansing  and test us once more ?  Then what? My guess future presidents will not consult  Congress  in advance of  limited military action  again. It is just too gut wrenching.  Presidents have the constitutional powers to take short term action, but they will have learned the consequences of asking Congress first.

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