The “party of no
“now must become the “party of yes “ or face an electorate in 2016 already fed up with inaction on
issues important to them. The monkey is
now on the GOP’s back to provide solutions.
The GOP won with anti-Obama and anti-gridlock sentiment. If
the GOP thinks all they have to do is make good on promises to roll back Obama’s
programs, and send the White House legislation they know will get vetoed, they
may lay the seeds for their own defeat in 2016. Voters clearly want more than
more gridlock. If the GOP proposes alternatives, what they advocate may turn
blocks of voters against them. If what they pass accomplishes little, they risk
being called failures.
2016 is not 2014. The make-up of the electorate will be larger
and more diverse in 2016 because it is a presidential election year. Only a third
of the electorate, older with fewer minorities, voted in 2014. The GOP will be
defending more Senate seats in blue states in 2016 than Democrats contested in
red states in 2014, with a greater chance of Democrats retaking the Senate.
There are three issues that could activate blocks of the
electorate to vote against the GOP: immigration, health care reform, and middle
class prosperity.
.
Hispanics historically turn out in greater numbers in
presidential years than in midterms. In recent elections that has been
sufficient to keep the GOP from gathering enough electoral votes from battleground
states with large Latino minorities to win the White House.
The newly elected Representatives and Senators may have run
on anti- immigrant platforms, but they will not be able to hide votes on the
record that could solidify the Hispanic support
of the Democratic party for another decade. GOP threats to take revenge
on Pres. Obama’s executive orders regarding deportation will certainly further
alienate them. Another turnoff will be if GOP fails to provide a legal status
for undocumented immigrants already in the US.
So far the GOP has found simply advocating repeal sheltered
them from having to craft fiscally sound alternatives to Obamacare that will
allow the millions who like their Obamacare plans to keep their Obamacare
plans. Polls show voters want Obamacare
“fixed”, not repealed and taking away benefits could cause a revolt from the
deprived. However, the GOP has not yet found a way to fund changes that would
pass Congressional Budget Office scrutiny while also providing similar popular
benefits and affordability to current and potential 30 million customers.
If the GOP attempts to push through legislation that
increases college costs, makes health care unaffordable again, or opposes
minimum wage increases and leaves the middle class waiting for economic growth
to trickle down to them, they will give
Democrats a gift of a 2016 campaign
issue: middle class well-being. Short
term job creation programs for infrastructure and the Keystone Pipeline may
provide better wages and jobs for some, but not for all sectors. The GOP has two
years come up with real solutions to
aid the struggling middle class or
face fickle, fed up voters in 2016.
A version of this appeared in the Sky Hi Daily News Nov. 13, 2014 www.skyhidailynews.com
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2014/1105/Midterm-elections-exit-poll-It-was-the-economy-stupid
http://pos.org/2014/11/mcinturff-harrington-morning-consult-column-11-6-14-the-aca-was-not-a-significant-vote-factor-this-election/
http://news.yahoo.com/reagan-bush-acted-alone-shield-immigrants-171420251.html They did not impeach either Reagan or Bush for taking unilateral action using executive authority. Obama, of course, is different?
A version of this appeared in the Sky Hi Daily News Nov. 13, 2014 www.skyhidailynews.com
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2014/1105/Midterm-elections-exit-poll-It-was-the-economy-stupid
http://pos.org/2014/11/mcinturff-harrington-morning-consult-column-11-6-14-the-aca-was-not-a-significant-vote-factor-this-election/
http://news.yahoo.com/reagan-bush-acted-alone-shield-immigrants-171420251.html They did not impeach either Reagan or Bush for taking unilateral action using executive authority. Obama, of course, is different?
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