Sunday, September 15, 2024

Yep, grocery prices are still too high; Trump plans to make them higher

Yet to fix are high grocery prices. Yep, grocery prices are still too high; Trump plans to make them higher Gr.ocery prices for food at home rose less than 1% over 12 months, so the bleeding has stopped. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm Just griping fixes nothing. Price gouging prosecution among fixes in Harris's priorities and plans. Trump's fix plans? Zero, no power to roll back prices, but he plans to make it worse with high tariffs on all imports, including it appears on fruits and vegetables we get in the winter from Chile and Mexico. . No more imported veggies and fruits in winter from Chile and Mexico. Florida and California, with no competition, can charge scalpers prices. Harris on grocery prices: taking action to lower grocery costs—increasing food assistance for low-income families, strengthening supply chains to lower food prices, and cracking down on price gouging and promoting competition in the agriculture industry. 

 https://www.axios.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation#:~:text=%22We%20believe%20that%20a%20second,has%20come%20down%20remarkably%20fast..

. https://www.imfromdenver.com/trending/king-soopers-caught-red-handed-shocking-admission-of-price-gouging-in-colorado/

Saturday, September 14, 2024

My elevator pitch when MAGA claims Biden was a failure

My elevator pitch when MAGA claims Biden was a failure and his successful handoff to Harris that Trump would upend. It may take more than one floor on the elevator for this pitch, maybe two. Updated 10 8 2024

https://www.forbes.com/sites/christianweller/2024/03/22/the-economy-is-much-stronger-than-four-years-ago/

  We had COVID. Remember?? That put the economy on ice. It was the worst economy since the Great Depression and Trump handed that off to Biden.  When it thawed in 2021, there was pent-up consumer demand and screwed-up supply chains that caused too much demand for supplies, causing inflation. Biden fixed it. The inflation rate is now back to normal; interest rates already going down. Gas at the pump less than a buck more than when Trump left office. Grocery price inflation has stopped, but it is still too high. Housing and rents are still too high. Trump has no plan to fix those; Harris does. Trump's plans include cross-the-board tariffs on all imports, with costs passed on to consumers, adding $4K to a family's annual expenses.

Federal Funds Rate: What It Is, How It's Determined, and Why It's Important

, and the highest employment rates in 50 years. Everyone has a job if they want to work; normal economic growth and wages are rising higher than inflation. Big pharma fought, and prescription drug prices lowered. Immigration illegal border crossings are fewer than when Trump left office. The crime rate is lower than in Trump's years. Rip-roaring Wall Street. No oil shortage and we are now nearing energy independence. Fixed a bunch of bridges and roads, retooled more rust belt with 21st-century industry, and lowered gas at pump prices. Russian aggression checked. Fed cut interest rates 9/18 as inflation licked.. That is Biden's handoff to Harris. 

This paragraph moved to a stand alone post as well.Yet to fix. High grocery prices. Grocery prices for food at home rose less than 1% over 12 months, so the bleeding has stopped. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm Just griping fixes nothing. Price gouging prosecution among fixes in Harris's priorities and plans. (Trump's fix plans? zero, no power to roll back prices, but he plans to make it worse with high tariffs on all imports, including it appears on fruits and vegetables we get in the winter from Chile and Mexico). Harris on grocery prices: taking action to lower grocery costs—increasing food assistance for low-income families, strengthening supply chains to lower food prices, and cracking down on price gouging and promoting competition in the agriculture industry.  https://time.com/7011865/kamala-harris-economic-plan-groceries-child/

Trumps plans impact more than just food prices. Screw the middle-class consumers with import tariffs, destabilize the country with racial conflict, destroy democracy and the rule of law, replace the rule of the people using ballots with the rule of Trump now immune from criminal prosecution, use violence to suppress opposition, limit freedom of speech and media, cave into foreign adversaries, have the government take away women's control of their bodies and health, and end civil rights protections..

 https://www.axios.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation#:~:text=%22We%20believe%20that%20a%20second,has%20come%20down%20remarkably%20fast..

 https://www.axios.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/18/fed-cuts-rates-september-2024-.html

expect MAGA to claim fed dramatic reduction in interest rates yesterday was political;. Fed reserve chair Jerome Powell was appointed chair by Donald Trump and held over by Biden. Fed reserve board composed of 12 members serving long terms and appointed by a variety of presidents and vote was 11to 1 for interest rate deductions.

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Trump's biggest fibs September 10 build his foundation on sand.

Gullibles' travails.  Eventually, one can only hope outright Trump lies will catch up with the con man. Maybe also, there is something else at work, even if Trump lies. For MAGA, facts are irrelevant. Trump channels his followers' racial rage/ white nationalism/anti-immigrants, misogyny, and self-interest of pro-business segments with low regulation and taxes that appeal more than those who know better and don't care about facts and the end of democracy. This is really dangerous to the foundtation of this country. Trump's lies ignored are like building a house on sand. If the gullible prevails, eventually, the foundation crumbles and collapses when, unfortunately, it is too late to repair the damage.  

(Update 9 16 24.  In defense of the Springfield Haitian dog-eating hoax he had promoted, GOP VP candidate JD Vance said, "It is OK to make stories up to get media attention" because Harris was getting a free ride from the press.  https://www.thhttps://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/15/jd-vance-lies-haitian-immigrantseguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/15/jd-vance-lies-haitian-immigrants.  How very sad that Trump and Vance depend on the gullibility of their most loyal base, who they hope are as easily manipulated and fooled by their lies as they think. )

Aurora, Colorado mayor admits he overstated Venezuelan gang problem in Aurora, Colorado. https://www.axios.com/local/denver/2024/09/11/aurora-venezuelan-gang-arrests-mike-coffman-danielle-jurinsky

"Migrant crime" is now Trump's shorthand for his anti-immigrant fear and hate platform.  Aside from the substance of the crazy conspiracy theory of Haitians eating family pets in Springfield, Ohio, this is Trump's big dog whistle to the racists and those wanting to get rid of immigrants who are "adulterating our blood."  The pet story excrement was debunked in real-time by the moderators and later by fact-checkers. Trump hit two of his platform planks in one blow: immigrant hatred and fear of black people.

In any case, fact-checkers had a field day on the September 10 debate. It was rich pickings. Looking at the various fact-checking, here are the biggest fibs Trump told in the September debate, and they are fundamental to his pitch to the gullible and others with its racism/immigration, lues about the economy and prices, energy/oil, and national security/male superiority/misogyny.  

Trump's pitch ever since 2016 is that immigrants are bringing crime and are responsible for a crime surge. Fact check: 1) The rate of crime was worse under Trump than now.  2) Illegal immigrants' crime rate is well below the rate for American-born (probably because they do not want to be sent back to what they fled if they get caught). 3) It also appeared to some viewers as a surprise that Trump killed the bi-partisan funding bill this spring, which would have funded more border guards and immigration judges, fentanyl detection equipment, and more of the wall so his supporters' anger about immigration could last through Nov. 5 . 4) Illegal border crossing volume now are lower than  Trump's at the end of his presidency.More on the subject below. Update 9 13 24: More Trump lying BS on immigrants and Venezuelan gangs:  Colorado mayor, police respond to Trump's claims that Venezuelan gang is 'taking over' (msn.com)  

Ukraine and national security: Trump, US taxpayers are losers because we are paying for this war while Europe gets a free ride (paraphrased). 1)Europe's contribution as a whole is nearly two times the US's. Putin's next victim if he is not stopped in Ukraine is Poland. Clever Harris: 800,000 Polish-related Pennsylvania voters in a critical swing state. 2) Misogyny: Harris is a woman, therefore de facto weak. The latter is not a fact-based response. It was the best line of the debate from Harris, given Trump's ego-driven personality flaw making him vulnerable to manipulation and flattery: " Putin will eat you for lunch. " Hawks like Dick Cheney and lists of national security advisors and retired generals are supporting Harris. She's got the cajones.

The big lie: Trump: no," I was just being sarcastic when I admitted I lost the 2020 election by a whisker." This was fact-checked as false by the moderator in real-time in the debate broadcast. Trump was not being sarcastic. It was enough to tick off January 6 mob leader Nick Fuentes, who thought he was a patriot.  So the Big Lie was really a big lie, underlying GOP efforts to keep adversaries from voting with any number of suppression methods and intimidation, including violence and threats by Trump to throw election officials, adversaries of all kinds, in jail if he wins.

Women's health: Trump: babies killed after birth by Roe v Wade. Nope. That's murder anywhere. This is Harris's 100-pound gorilla pitch impact: "The government should not tell women what to do about their own health and bodies, and they can still keep their own personal beliefs." Harris just wants to restore Roe v Wade, which we had for 50 years, and Trump's Court appointees tanked. She would sign that legislation like Roe  Wade sent by Congress. Trump's abortion bans in one-third of our states kill women, cause needless suffering, or make them infertile for lack of medical care in a miscarriage. In the debate, Trump weaseled out of answering (it's a state's rights thing) whether he would sign a nationwide abortion ban, probably because he would lose a large portion of his followers if he said he would not sign a federal ban. On ban details, he changed his position at least four times since March.

Economy and inflation: Trump paraphrased:"Economy: sucks, and I Trump will fix it". Reality check: Yes, grocery prices are too high, but gas at the pump has fallen to more tolerable levels. The inflation rate is now the lowest in three years...under 3%, near normal. Trump keeps hyping his  grievance, with no fix, and even a plan to make inflation worse. However he appeals to an unstated fantasy coddled by low-information voters that he will get them back to nearer pre-COVID prices. Heard on TV from COVID amnesiacs, "I liked the economy better under Trump, so he will do a better job. " With no plan, no how to do it? Keep the faith, MAGA. By the way, wages are up higher than price increases and Harris wants a nationwide minimum wage of $15/hr.  Was the post-COVID -inflation spike all Biden's fault? Nope and nope. Pent-up demand and the supply chain slow gearing up post-COVID equaled too much pent-up demand for too little supply.  Harris has a plan for helping middle-class living be more affordable while inflation rates. Harris's plan will prosecute gougers, deny monopoly price setting, flood the market with cheaper housing that is affordable for first-time buyers and renters, and make health care even cheaper by battling big pharma and financial relief for new parents.


Women's health: Trump: babies killed after birth by Roe v Wade. Nope. That's murder anywhere. This is Harris's 100-pound gorilla pitch impact: "The government should not tell women what to do about their own health and bodies, and they can still keep their own personal beliefs." Harris just wants to restore Roe v Wade, which we had for 50 years, and Trump's Court appointees tanked. Harris would sign that legislation sent by Congress. Trump's abortion bans in one-third of our states kill women, cause needless suffering, or make them infertile for lack of medical care in a miscarriage. In the debate, Trump weaseled out of answering (it's a state's rights thing) whether he would sign a nationwide abortion ban, probably because he would lose a large portion of his followers if he said he would not sign a federal ban. On ban details, he changed his position at least four times since March.https://kffhealthnews.org/morning-breakout/trump-has-only-concepts-of-a-plan-to-replace-aca-harris-vows-to-expand-health-law/

Obamacare: Trump tried to kill it.  Has only "concepts' to replace, but one concept is to return to a failed attempts to put all of those with pre-existing conditions put in one pool. It had failed before in som many states where that was tried was the reason Obamacare came to being.  It has to do with an actuarial pool that was so narrow and and so hard to qualify for it failed. The costs required either huge subsidies or raise the premiums so no one could afford to pay them. https://mufticforumblog.blogspot.com/2017/05/the-house-trumpcare-bill-could-be.html


Economy matters and deserves some more details: 

1)The rate of annual price increases (inflation)  is now below 3%, the lowest in 3 years,  and near the historical normal. The bleeding has stopped, but we are stuck with past inflationary prices. That hurts. On average, the good news is wage increases have been more than inflation increases, with Harris bucking for the $15 minimum.. Everyone who wants a job has one with the lowest unemployment rate in 54 years. The Fed is predicted to lower interest rates this month since inflation is licked. 

2)Trump's proposed solution to fund the government (so he can continue to give a tax break to the very rich and keep the rest of us quiet): 10 to 20% on all imports with tariffs. Tariffs are like sales taxes, paid for by importers themselves (not their governments), who raise prices to cover added costs, and the prices are like a rising tide that raises all boats in the entire marketplace while boosting deficit/debt. Nearly all big-time economists agree.

 3) Oil and energy prices at the pump are dramatically down to less than a buck more than in the old days as crude oil has enough supply on hand and unused leases to provide oil for the next 40 years...so drill baby drill makes the unnecessary useless.  Natural gas? Enough forever. 

4) Harris opposed fracking natural gas? Give me a break. Trump, please update this before lying again. She evolved years ago and does not oppose it now. Her energy policy is all of the above, a combination of renewables and traditional sources.  

5) Obamacare? Trump only has a "concept" to improve and/or replace Obamacare (used by over 16  million people), his same old empty promise since 2016. Where's the beef? Next to women's health, this may be the largest sleeper gorilla infecting Trump's hoped-for voter support. 

I mostly drew on ABC and CNN fact-checking post-debate on September 10 and many recent posts on my blogspot. Key word the blog to search sources and posts on my blog.

New sources not cited on my  blog before:

 Ukraine      https://www.ifw-kiel.de/publications/news/europe-has-a-long-way-to-go-to-replace-us-aid-large-gap-between-commitments-and-allocations/   Commitments and actual expenses by Europe are much more than the US's...but not sufficient as a replacement for US assistance. They still need us

.News: Unemployment is at its Lowest Level in 54 years | U.S. Department of Commerce

When the bi-partisn immigration bill was killed by Trump, Biden issued some executive orders.Border crossings are lower now under Biden than when Trump left office.  From:How do Biden, Trump's border policies compare? (newsnationnow.com)Yes, closing the border to all but manageable levels, given our current capacity, got the figures down.( But that is a half done job and subject to legal challenge and existing authorized expenditures.. Border guards are underfunded and understaffed.. Wall unfinished. Fentanyl detection machinery is unfunded. Biden's exec order can be challenged in court because it ignores the intent of federal immigration legislation to provide asylum to all those those qualifying under the law.) Per the article: "last month, Biden signed an executive order shutting down asylum requests at the U.S.-Mexico border once the average number of daily encounters between ports of entry hits 2,500. According to several people familiar with the discussions, the border will reopen only once that number declines to 1,500...After Biden’s executive action went into effect at the southern border, he touted a drop in illegal immigration, saying encounters have gone down over 50% with levels lower than when Trump left office." July 2024.

Overtime pay: Project 2025 would make more workers exempt and deceptively, Trump would not tax overtime pay and tips.   Harris also would exempt tips from taxes, but would not exempt workers from overtime pay. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/fact-checking-warnings-from-democrats-about-project-2025-and-donald-trump

Proved Reserves of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the United States, Year-End 2022 (eia.gov)

Statement from President Joe Biden on Record ACA Enrollment Numbers | The White House






Sunday, September 8, 2024

Do women have the balls to be president? Trump, Vance "mysogynistic pigs"?

 Our family, fortunately, has the ability to interface with people of many views.  Here is what he got from an associate, absolutely the craziest train of thought and a dangerous one from a dedicated Trump supporter.  A recent conversation hit two Trump/MAGA hot buttons: misogyny and why Dictator Trump should be elected to avoid nuclear war. The misogyny thing got an angry snort from me and reminded me of the time when I was told I had balls. https://mufticforumblog.blogspot.com/2024/09/newest-magalland-craziness-way-to.html

Vance's attack on women who are childless cat women and Huckabee Sanders as women who do not have their own children as not humble enough are echoes of a bygone era where women knew their place, and it was not out in politics. They were slurs meant to appeal to Trump's male heavy support. https://19thnews.org/2024/09/poll-women-driving-harris-lead-over-trump/  

It also got Liz Cheney's dander up, too. Talking about balls, she has 'em. She called Trump and Vance "misogynist pigs".Liz Cheney Rips Into ‘Misogynistic Pigs’ Trump and Vance to Hoots and Hollers (msn.com)

Let us talk about this misogynist twist. One of the strangest results of my attempt to run for mayor was to oust a powerful political boss of a major city so Denver could have a modern future in which people wanted to live, which left me with mixed feelings. I almost did it, coming in second in a nonpartisan field of 13. The big guy still won, but his age and incompetence got him, and Federico Pena won the next election, got us to imagine a great city, and created one, too, in two terms as mayor of Denver, later serving in two presidential cabinet posts.   After my election, the word came around that "boy, did I have balls". Yes, I was fearless, and yes, I had verbal skills. I guess that was the highest compliment I could have gotten in the early 1970s as the first woman to attempt to run for that position (and in modern times, the first to run for any city-wide office).   

So hats off to Harris, who had the balls to take on drug cartels and a four four-year apprenticeship to get to know every foreign leader and threat in this world,  She has the balls and the experience, unlike the amateur elected in 2016 TV star with no comparable government or national security experience and a reputation of a great businessman (that we know now was based on fraud, deceit, and multiple bankruptcies. ) His only management skill was modeled after mob bosses, based up ginning fear , lies, threats, and taking retribution against the opposition, perfectly suited for becoming a dictator (which is a mob boss in national political power).

Do you have no balls, women? I'll pit Indira Gandhi, Angela Merkel, Margaret Thatcher, Queen Elizabeth I, Queen Victoria, Catherine the Great, and Golda Meir against any man, regardless of politics and lifestyle. Some were monarchs, and some did it within democracies. My family member, male, almost 60, white, hopes that Harris comes across more like Iron Lady, still ladylike, Thatcher, and paints Trump as a belly-up appeasing coward who can't understand why anyone would die defending our country.

It also got Lia Cheney's dander up, too.  She called Trump and Vance "misogynist pigs".Liz Cheney Rips Into ‘Misogynistic Pigs’ Trump and Vance to Hoots and Hollers (msn.com)

OK, now for the dictator crap:

Destroying democracy as Trump can do on day one by signing all the already prepared documents submitted by his supporters at the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025,. All can be done with his newly granted immune powers to set a dictatorship in motion.  It would not be like a frog in gradually boiling water. The Heritage Foundation plans to do this in the first 180 days. Turning back civil and women's rights and health care to the 1950s just "might" be resisted, and the internal chaos that would cause would simply make us more vulnerable to those taking aggressive action. Destroying mutual defense treaties would mean we would be on our own, and Western Europe would go its own way regarding Russian aggression, while Trump would just let Putin have Ukraine. So that is just for starters. He's an appeaser and a belly-upper.   

 Ultimate hawk Dick Cheney, former VP, just announced he was voting for Harris in no uncertain terms.Trump responded "he's irrelevant". He can only hope. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ten-former-top-us-military-officials-back-harris-call-trump-a-danger-2024-09-09

 Business cannot be conducted in that atmosphere, and high tariffs, according to every Nobel prize economist in the world, and businessmen know themselves only lead to high inflation, probably recession, and moving manufacturing out of the US to avoid retaliatory action.  That is why Wall Street, led by Goldman Sachs and others, is beginning to wake up and panic at the thought of Trump implementing his plans.  Good luck to our economy and national security in the next four years of Trump's presidency.   

We also tried America First out once in the1930s; we watched English PM Chamberlain declare peace in our times as he handed the Czechs over to Hitler, and Japan saw us without the political will or ability to defend themselves. Appeasement ended in Dec.7 1941. It was an epic miscalculation that took four years of epic death and destruction to resolve, and that was until we dropped our nuclear bombs on Japan. Now, every big power aggressor has the ability to do the same to us.