The critical differences between the Bosnia conflict and Ukraine;;

Update on Polish MIGs: March 13, 2022

Why aren't those Polish MIGs being delivered and no rly zones instituted. Something is going on re the migs we may not know. Let me speculate: Russia is under scrutiny for war crimes in targeting civilians. Russian generals  generals are liable. (per the Hague war times trials in the Bosnian war)Corridors are being announced to give civilians a chance to evacuate.  Interesting that VP Harris yesterday did not accuse Russia of war crimes, only that they should be investigated. Russia is threatening to use air attacks on EU and US supply lines to resistance fighters.. Yet...listen to what is being said: by the Pentagon " now is not the time, maybe later, via the migs." So far neither the resistance nor the Russians have made full use of their air capabilities. I wonder if the air war is in a pause to give resupply and evacuations a chance...and then the migs will deployed. It is not supplying the migs that risks direct confrontation with Russia and WWIII. It is who is flying them and pulling the triggers. Also within Russian boundaries, their anti aircraft missiles have a 200 mile range. Just my surmise. Let's see if this plays out. Once we get the civilians out...then the migs will be delivered to the resistance. The original estimate of refugees was 6 million and half of those are still internally displaced.

 Those following this blog and my Facebook postings are probably aware of my closeness to relatives by marriage in Bosnia and their experiences during the 1990's and the aftermath of the war of ethnic cleansing. Serbia had visions of uniting fellow ethnics in Bosnia under the banner of "greater Serbia" and Putin wants to unite all Slavs in resurrecting the boundaries of the old Soviet Union.  Ukrainians now united in resisting the Russian invasion are more motivated by what historian Anne Applebaum calls civil nationalism fueled by their citizen's desire to be governed by democracy and western economic ties regardless of their roots, Russian and Ukrainian. In Ukraine it appears that civic nationalism trumps ethnic identification unlike Bosnia.  The other difference is control of the air. Who governed the skies, and latent US air cover brought Serbs to the negotiating table and the end of the bloody conflict resulting in the Dayton Accords. . Another difference between the Balkan war and this conflict is that Serbia was not a nuclear power.  A nuclear armed Russia could face a nuclear armed NATO. that would spark a World War III nuclear war, The US has ruled out military intervention to aid Ukrainian resistance. Colonel Alexander Vindman, Ukrainian by birth and a US citizen war hero, former expert on Ukraine in the NSA, is now retired.  He suggested on MSBC Feb26 an alternative way to provide air support and avoid direct conflict with the Russians that was not available in Bosnia thirty years ago: supplying Ukrainian resistance with unmanned armored vehicles...use of drones,