Saturday, April 9, 2022

Going on the attack. A formula for Democrats keeping the House in 2022 (revised, updated))

Update May 5, 2022: This is more like it: Biden Comes Out Swinging Against GOP’s 'Extreme' MAGA Agenda | Politics | US News

Updated  May 2,2022 and revised from an April 9 post. What will make a difference in the 2022 midterms?  Slogans have a role in messaging. They put long lists into a context and can be used in both attacks and defense:  In 2022, they can be both national and locally applied. Some possibilities: the GOP is a" just to say no to fixes to family financial struggles", or a MAGA candidate can be tagged in a swing district as "just too extreme for us", or on Ukraine and democracy, and big pharma the question put to certain candidates becomes "on whose side are you on anyway?" 

 Here is how the races could be shaping up as seen in April 2022. and  a possible winning overarching themes and slogans for Democrats which puts their contrast with GOP candidates in context. . Going on the attack  instead of just playing defense is an old bit of wisdom: The best defense is a great offense. Calling out the GOP as the party of "just say no" to helping families with day-to-day finances or tagging Qnuts and MAGA  cult members as too extreme for the district are attack slogans that could be fortified with national messaging at the same time. After two years of trying, evidence of the steal has yet to be found and those who keep on spouting the fantasy are either lying or deaf, dumb and blind. We have witnessed the gut reaction of those immediately post January 6, especially from Kevin McCarthy even consider asking Trump to retire in taped conversations, and to reverse themselves when they realize Trump is still the power to which they must bow. The best I heard recently is to call the party a party dominated by "loonies and liars". Another is "The 2022 battle cry needs to be, "A vote for House Republicans, is a vote to destroy democracy."  Both of these attack slogans are credited to Tom Rogers,  of NEWSWEEK, and formr Colorado Senator Tim Wirth.  Attacks like these need to be direct, simple, and pointed and they should not leave voters having to listen to long lists just to extract and deduce the point being made.  .These slogans then should be followed up with what the Democrats have done for your family or national security as a contrast in context of the slogan and the details of why they think so.. How effective these slogans will be depends  how skillfully  it is applied to the more district, state, and local races given the opponents' records on these issues...  With MAGA and Trump still in control of primary elections, it is probable that GOP candidates will be chosen because of their loyalty to Trumpism.  That is an opportunity for Democrats in the general election to appeal to moderates and fence sitters in swing districts. .   All politics in 2022 is local and campaigns need to be tailored to each Congressional district though national themes and slogans can back up local campaigns and put them in context.

The focus in swing districts should be on reaching swing voters.A good way to look at this is which states flipped from voting for Donald Trump in 2016 to Joe Biden in 2020 and now have competitive congressional races in 2022? Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Georgia flipped to Biden."   That same analysis can be applied to identifying  swing  House districts  there and elsewhere. Cultural issues, racism expressed now in CRT school and parental control battles, fear of brown people invading us from our borders, religious fervor against gays and trans, and anti-choice, will be the currents against which Democrats will be swimming. These issues have no impact on what bugs most voters: the economy. Those are value and belief issues that are not debatable  , but could be attacked as too extreme to the particular district, local and state races. 

 It might make a difference in contested districts if Democrats can go on the offensive and pin MAGA candidates as un-American, and not caring about democracy, preferring Putin- like autocracies. Ukraine support is similar to the dilemma facing American in 1940, 1941 when the US was toying with arming England before Pearl Harbor.. The deciding judgment call became based on making the world safe for democracy, our own democracy. (Thanks to historian Michael Beschloss for that observation of history)..Reminder: 63 House member (including a few Democrats) voted against a pro NATO resolution recently. All  Republicans voted against reducing the cost of diabetes drugs. For candidates in specific districts like them, they should be asked" on whose side are you, anyway?", Russia and Bid Pharma? 


However,  above, cultural issues and democracy v autocracy, polls show the public policy issue on all minds is the economy  narrowed to a single problem, inflation, but the GOP persists as  the party of just saying no to family relief. The GOP has gone off on   tangents that have nothing to do with improving  the economy, dealing with inflation,  or pocket book relief health care costs, especially diabetes meds , and roads addressed because " Just saying no" fixes nothing that has to do with the economy..   This presents an opportunity to list what Democrats have accomplished in the past two years.  If the opposing candidate is not an incumbent, they still are talking the party line of just say no to any relief to families.

Dealing with the lingering "stop the steal" candidates, there is a  local Colorado race that  has national implications and interest regarding voter integrity. The GOP talks a game about voter integrity, but they want to rig it to be able to support the candidates they favor. Voter integrity as they define it only applies to them, enabling them to wreck the ability to provide safeguards for everyone and to trample the laws in place to protect ballots for all. Colorado, a candidate for Secretary of State,  Tina Peters, is  a county clerk indicted for criminal violation of duty to secure 2020 ballots as proscribed by law. She is a perfect candidate to hold up as a poster child of a QNUT  dominated political party and she just got the support in her party's state assembly, as did other "stop the steal" candidates for state wide office and Senate.. Her defense  against the criminal charge is being funded by My Pillow Guy.  Given the blue tint of the state, the state GOP is vulnerable to be branded as too extreme, just as their candidates for other state and district offices  are.

McCarthy scrambles to contain fallout from tape on Trump and Jan. 6 (usatoday.com)

 GOP secretary of state candidate endorses Tina Peters, jumps to El Paso County commissioner primary | 2022 Election | coloradopolitics.com   

  Mike Lindell says he gave up to $800K to Tina Peters' defense | 9news.com  

   Here is everything that’s happened with Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters (coloradosun.com)  

    Littwin: The Big Lie is the big winner at the Colorado GOP assembly (coloradosun.com)   

The Card a Republican House Can Play That Turns Us Into a House of Cards | Opinion (msn.com)

All three GOP House members from Colorado voted against the infrastructure bill. The four Democrats voted in favor.  Colorado's Democratic delegation cheers passage of infrastructure bill amid GOP scowls | Colorado In DC | coloradopolitics.com


Remarks by President Biden on Actions to Lower Gas Prices at the Pump for American Families | The White House


Why 30 percent of the House GOP voted against reaffirming NATO support - The Washington Post

12 House Republicans Voted for Key Piece of Biden Agenda on Prescription Drugs

Republicans who voted against Biden's infrastructure bill are touting its projects anyway - Los Angeles Times (latimes.com) (businessinsider.com)

Republican-Colorado GOP House members voted no on the infrastructure bill. Watch if they try to take credit for projects in their district that were funded by the bill. None voted for the prescription drug bill, either.https://www.businessinsider.com/house-republicans-voted... Boebert voted against the resolution supporting NATO in the Ukraine crisis.

ntrolled states have higher murder rates than Democratic ones: study (yahoo.com)


Update March 31, 2022  Remarks by President Biden on Actions to Lower Gas Prices at the Pump for American Families | The White House

With gas prices high, Colorado oil production is ramping up | Colorado Public Radio (cpr.org)

CBS News poll: Strong support for Russian sanctions even if gas prices increase - CBS News



 


No comments:

Post a Comment