Monday, October 16, 2023

Is a backlash against right wing/autocratic governance beginning? Poland sends a message

 The Trump-like Law and Justice party in Poland stood for less support of Ukraine and the EU, and a stronger arm government in Poland voted against right-wing incumbents who had attempted to reduce support for Ukraine and connections with the EU . The right-wing isolationists lost. Democracy won and touted the opposition center.   https://apnews.com/article/poland-election-vote-720f7b81838c33ccb2865fb3bc6e0414pear   Poland elections: Tusk, opposition beat conservatives, exit poll shows - The Washington Post  Will coalition politics come to the US to save democracy? 

Europe uses the parliamentary system, requiring coalition building among a variety of political parties. The US depends on the coalitions to be developed within their two-party system. However, there is now talk with a coalition of moderates of both parties to join together and break the roadblock to the stubborn inability of the GOP members of Congress able to agree on a House Speaker.  Their weak position is due to the fact that 4 votes could determine the outcome of a floor vote.  For the first time, the word "coalition" (enough Democrats vote with enough GOP congressmen) is a possibility. In the vote to oust McCarthy, many called depending on some bi-partisan Democrats to be treasonous or worse. McCarthy neither asked for Democrat support and doubled down on a last minute  appeal to the right wing on media.  Jim Himes (D-CT) on Morning Joe (MSNBC) this morning said that the current GOP caucus vote leader who is 50 votes short, Jim Jordan, would not receive any Democratic votes since he was an election denier and Jan. 6 stop-the-count supporter and against more aid to Ukraine. However, if the GOP put forth a more centrist nomination, they would be open to providing Democratic votes to give the moderate the needed votes. However, that was a couple of weeks away if a voterama in the House fails to get Jordon over the finish line.

One of those voting against Scalese and Jordan is Ken Buck (R-CO), both because of election denialism and failure to support Ukraine.   Could he be part of the coalition vote later if the voterama does not break the stalemate? Next speaker must publicly support 2020 election results, Rep. Buck says (axios.com)

US voters still prefer democracy over a dictatorship (autocracy). That should be comforting. The House GOP is sitll controlledd by  Trump and a hard core minority.  Trump has made it clear he is for Jordan .  Jordan represents chaos and discord like his mentors. Jordan's his record as a legislator has been an oral bomb thower and attack dog for the right wing and in January 6 hearings and the Biden "crime family". No wonder he would notget any moderate Democrats to join in a coalition on his behalf.Poll: Majority of Americans endorse democracy, younger generations skeptical | MPR News

Polls are disturbing regarding continuing support for Ukraine, though leaders of both parties in Congress say support for Ukraine remains strong. CNN Poll: Majority of Americans oppose more US aid for Ukraine in war with Russia | CNN Politics   Other analyses of the same poll give support of Ukraine a  thumbs up and still strong. Americans’ support for helping Ukraine remains strong. Just look at the polls. - Atlantic Council

Are Americans more supportive of Ukraine than Congress is? - Atlantic Council

I have not seen a poll that delves into younger voter skepticism of democracy.  My question, what do they want instead? It appears that the skepticism among gen z is that democracy has failed to address their agenda on specific public policy issues, but if anything, they want the government to do more. The issues are liberal. This does not show an anti--democracy bias, just frustration with it reflecting their issues.  Rising political tide of young adults, Gen Z – Harvard Gazette

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