Showing posts with label voter integrity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label voter integrity. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 26, 2024

Why election deniers have reasons to keep up the big lie

The importance of continuing the lie that the 2020 election was stolen is that it has become a political strategy key to Trump's re-election.  No evidence has emerged in nearly four years of trying to find it that would have found enough irregularities to result in Trump being re-elected.  By now, rational thought should have debunked the lie long ago.   Instead, more political leaders still embrace the Big Lie than ever before.  Not all of them are so irrational to ignore the lack of evidence. It has evidently become an important 2024 election tool for Trump supporters. 

The brief tenure of Ronna McDaniels as a political commentator on NBC left me with mixed feelings.  McDaniels, the former chair of the Republican National Committee, had been brought on to the network to give news coverage a more balanced appearance, I assume. Still, it ended in heated and on-camera objections from many NBC and MNBC stars. the network brass reversed itself.  In her first appearance, she refused to back down from being an election denier who contributed to the January 6 violent rioters and Trump's attempted coup to overturn the 2020 election results to turn him from a loser to a winner. I would have looked forward to her defending election denying in the face of challenges from other panel members or moderators. The sign of a true believer is to admit that Biden sits in the White House, so he is now President, but never to admit the 2020 election was legitimate.  McDaniels, now a private citizen, passed the true believer MAGA test in her interview on Meet the Press in March, igniting howls of protest that giving a public platform to promote such lies was unacceptable. She refused to agree the 2020 election was fair and referred to all of the "problems" in the 2020 election. https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=ronna+mcdaneil+meet+press+first+interview

How can one explain why election denials  have such power even in 2024? It makes no sense unless you view it as a cynical political strategy that benefits Trump and the MAGA movement.

     1. One explanation could be that it has value as a strategy and a tactic to give some sort of rationale to justify a second coup, violent or otherwise.  The 2020 election was stolen, so expect 2024 to be stolen again if Trump loses, goes the pitch. Political violence is already being threatened. The chief election official in Colorado is the Secretary of State, a Democrat, and like other election officials throughout the US, she must have 24-7 security protection because of the threats of violence against them. https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/07/politics/threats-us-public-officials-democracy-invs/index.html

Trump has a long history of supporting violence to accomplish a political goal. Even if you think he is just bluffing and bloviating, then learn how he has promoted violence in the past. It is a big part of who he is Promising to free and forgive violent and convicted January 6 protestors is just the most obvious one, but his inciting violence or advocating it has a record. https://mufticforumblog.blogspot.com/2020/08/trump-fans-flames-of-violence-yet-calls.html

     2. Another explanation could be that it is also a way to identify those who are true MAGA supporters from those who are not, like a secret handshake to get entry into the Trump club or as a hex sign to warn off a political attack by MAGA party disciplinarians of being primaried or publicly humiliated. Fear of loss of power or livelihood in a primary is a powerful motivator.   Trump's threat of revenge and retribution if he is re-elected is his promise often repeated.

    3. There could be another, darker reason for keeping the Big Lie going. It provides motivation and a rationale to enact voter suppression legislation and call it "voter integrity."  If the system is broken, we should fix it, according to pious logic. The problem is there is no evidence the system was that broken to justify unlawful purging of voter records, playing keepaway from convenient ballot drop boxes, and stopping mail in voting. However, suppressing the vote benefits the Trump re-election efforts by weakening his feared opposition.  What the MAGA "fix" is passing laws making it hard for targeted, presumed potential anti-Trump and pro-Biden voters to vote, all in the name of "voter integrity," based on the presumption that the young and the poorer minorities are the ones to commit voter fraud.  The current crusade is to end mail-in balloting (the fraud-free system used in Colorado by most voters). That is both a race-based approach that appeals to the white nationalist element of MAGA and one that does not stand up to evidence of prosecution records. Furthermore, when the MAGA crowd and FOX media lost millions in losing the defamation suit against the vote tabulating systems of Doniniium, they just kept spouting their unproved theories.  If the solution is to use only paper ballots, the answer is to keep mail-in voting and still provide same-day polling places as Colorado does. Paper ballots kept secure are the best proof in an audit that the computer systems upheld the validity of the count in an audit.   https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/5-egregious-voter-suppression-laws-2021

https://www.lwv.org/voting-rights/fighting-voter-suppression

     4. It supports the continuing rule of autocrats, which Trump promotes and what he promises to be. However, know when an autocrat controls the election system, as Trump would like to do with his appointments. there is no faith that there is any election integrity at all. We just witnessed the Russian sham elections recently, which were neither fair nor free, giving Putin his 6th term with 87% of the vote, the same incredible outcome of voting as in the old Communist-controlled USSR.  Putting MAGA in control, like the fox guarding the henhouse, of counting the vote is about the same lack of faith and credibility as it is in Russia. 

5. The Boss requires it. He has honed the technique over many years. Donald Trump has a long history of denying he lost a contest. It was noted when he was the Apprentice star who failed to get the Emmy he thought he deserved. Election denial was again used to explain the rigging that explained Obama's success, which popped up in 2012, and then, in 2020, it set off a bell in an October presidential debate. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/timeline-donald-trumps-election-denial-claims-republican-politicians/story?id=89168408   At first, it was just a comment made during a debate by Donald Trump in  October of 2016 that set off the first alarm bells. .https://www.npr.org/2016/10/20/498713509/donald-trump-says-hell-accept-the-results-of-the-election-if-he-wins    Some watching the debate thought he was just making a joke, but the joke was on us. He was not kidding. Others thought he believed he would lose, so he was preparing his followers to not lose faith; he never lost anything, and he would do something.   And something he did culminating in the January 6 attempted coup.  https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/article/no-modern-presidential-candidate-refused-to-concede-heres-why-that-matters  

6. The purge is complete.MAGA election deniers have taken over the GOP and many state officials.They got the power and prestige by riding on election denying oratory. The US Speaker of the House is an election denier, and the present and just past RNC (Republican National Committee) chairs are election deniers. Election deniers are in place to administer the 2024 elections in many states.   https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/election-deniers-playbook-2024 

In Colorado, recently mostly blue,   a very conservative and disgusted  Rep. Buck (R)  bailed out of the House before his term was up, leaving the GOP control hanging by a thread. He cited that the lies still promoted by the 2020 election were stolen. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/republican-rep-ken-buck-leaving-congress-eroding-gop-majority-rcna143046 His district is ruby red, so he will likely be his replacement who passes the MAGA loyalty tests. The Colorado state party chair, Dave Let's Go, Brandon Williams, the supreme Colorado election denier, is also running for Congress to fill another announced House vacancy in a red district.  Republican state chair Dave Williams wins top-line in Colorado's 5th Congressional District primary | Elections | coloradopolitics.com   

Buck's replacement was picked to run in the primary. Greg Lopez is an election denier, against abortions with no exceptions, with a history of domestic violence, DUIs, and other run ins with the law. https://coloradosun.com/2024/03/28/greg-lopez-ken-buck-colorado-4th-district-lauren-boebert/

https://www.9news.com/article/news/local/local-politics/candidate-lets-go-brandon-nickname/73-cac3b05d-4d57-4ac6-961c-6d308155e2f6

In my own county, the newly elected County Clerk nearly lost to opponents who suspected she was an election denier who would be running elections. She squeaked by winning her election recently after claiming the retiring loyal and much respected GOP clerk was OK, but the rest of the 2020 election, state and national, was a fraud. Go figure.    


Monday, May 2, 2022

The GOP, a party of "loonies and liars"? Slogan making in 2022

Update May 5, 2022:  Attaboy, Biden.  Calling MAGA extremist: Biden condemns efforts of extremist ‘Maga crowd’ to overturn Roe v Wade abortion protections – as it happened | US politics | The Guardian    CA Governor Newsom fleshes out the attack calling the GOP to pro-birth party, but fails to support children and families after birth. Gov. Newsom Lashes Out at Draft Abortion Ruling, Assails `Pro-Birth' Politicians - MyNewsLA.com

Update 5/11/22: Added to "loonies and liars",  and" lackeys"    There is a category of those who wilfully  believe as the truth whatever Donald Trump says for reasons of craven political gain regardless of prior stated beliefs.  They are neither loonies nor liars...just political opportunists who do what it takes to keep or gain political power by bowing to the most powerful who will back them.  .   


Updated  May 2,2022 and revised from an April 9 post. What will make a difference in the 2022 midterms?  Slogans have a role in messaging. They put long lists into a context and can be used in both attacks and defense:  In 2022, they can be both national and locally applied. Some possibilities: the GOP is a" just to say no to fixes to family financial struggles", or a MAGA candidate can be tagged in a swing district as "just too extreme for us", or on Ukraine and democracy, and big pharma the question put to certain candidates becomes "on whose side are you on anyway?" 

Continuing with April 9  and 24 postings:

 Here is how the races could be shaping up as seen in April 2022. and  a possible winning overarching themes and slogans for Democrats which puts their contrast with GOP candidates in context. . Going on the attack  instead of just playing defense is an old bit of wisdom: The best defense is a great offense. Calling out the GOP as the party of "just say no" to helping families with day-to-day finances or tagging Qnuts and MAGA  cult members as too extreme for the district are attack slogans that could be fortified with national messaging at the same time. After two years of trying, evidence of the steal has yet to be found and those who keep on spouting the fantasy are either lying or deaf, dumb and blind. We have witnessed the gut reaction of those immediately post January 6, especially from Kevin McCarthy even consider asking Trump to retire in taped conversations, and to reverse themselves when they realize Trump is still the power to which they must bow. The best I heard recently is to call the party a party dominated by "loonies and liars". Another is "The 2022 battle cry needs to be, "A vote for House Republicans, is a vote to destroy democracy."  Both of these attack slogans are credited to Tom Rogers,  of NEWSWEEK, and formr Colorado Senator Tim Wirth.  Attacks like these need to be direct, simple, and pointed and they should not leave voters having to listen to long lists just to extract and deduce the point being made.  .These slogans then should be followed up with what the Democrats have done for your family or national security as a contrast in context of the slogan and the details of why they think so.. How effective these slogans will be depends  how skillfully  it is applied to the more district, state, and local races given the opponents' records on these issues...  With MAGA and Trump still in control of primary elections, it is probable that GOP candidates will be chosen because of their loyalty to Trumpism.  That is an opportunity for Democrats in the general election to appeal to moderates and fence sitters in swing districts. .   All politics in 2022 is local and campaigns need to be tailored to each Congressional district though national themes and slogans can back up local campaigns and put them in context.

The focus in swing districts should be on reaching swing voters.A good way to look at this is which states flipped from voting for Donald Trump in 2016 to Joe Biden in 2020 and now have competitive congressional races in 2022? Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Georgia flipped to Biden."   That same analysis can be applied to identifying  swing  House districts  there and elsewhere. Cultural issues, racism expressed now in CRT school and parental control battles, fear of brown people invading us from our borders, religious fervor against gays and trans, and anti-choice, will be the currents against which Democrats will be swimming. These issues have no impact on what bugs most voters: the economy. Those are value and belief issues that are not debatable  , but could be attacked as too extreme to the particular district, local and state races.

Dealing with the lingering "stop the steal" candidates, there is a  local Colorado race that  has national implications and interest regarding voter integrity. The GOP talks a game about voter integrity, but they want to rig it to be able to support the candidates they favor. Voter integrity as they define it only applies to them, enabling them to wreck the ability to provide safeguards for everyone and to trample the laws in place to protect ballots for all. Colorado, a candidate for Secretary of State,  Tina Peters, is  a county clerk indicted for criminal violation of duty to secure 2020 ballots as proscribed by law. She is a perfect candidate to hold up as a poster child of a QNUT  dominated political party and she just got the support in her party's state assembly, as did other "stop the steal" candidates for state wide office and Senate.. Her defense  against the criminal charge is being funded by My Pillow Guy.  Given the blue tint of the state, the state GOP is vulnerable to be branded as too extreme, just as their candidates for other state and district offices  are.

McCarthy scrambles to contain fallout from tape on Trump and Jan. 6 (usatoday.com)

McCarthy scrambles to contain fallout from tape on Trump and Jan. 6 (usatoday.com)

 GOP secretary of state candidate endorses Tina Peters, jumps to El Paso County commissioner primary | 2022 Election | coloradopolitics.com   

  Mike Lindell says he gave up to $800K to Tina Peters' defense | 9news.com  

   Here is everything that’s happened with Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters (coloradosun.com)  

    Littwin: The Big Lie is the big winner at the Colorado GOP assembly (coloradosun.com)   

The Card a Republican House Can Play That Turns Us Into a House of Cards | Opinion (msn.com)

All three GOP House members from Colorado voted against the infrastructure bill. The four Democrats voted in favor.  Colorado's Democratic delegation cheers passage of infrastructure bill amid GOP scowls | Colorado In DC | coloradopolitics.com

Sunday, January 30, 2022

GOP's winning strategy: make a bad situation worse

 While the public loses, the GOP thinks they have a winning strategy: make a bad situation worse so they can paint Democrats as failures and Biden as ineffective.   Given the poll numbers, they have a reason to keep doing it. The leadership of the GOP and its media cohorts and those allies who support them have been effective.  Raising the dust on this issue is also a way to obscure the fact they have no platform, no alternatives to offer any solution, and instead, all they have to offer is obstruction.  The GOP has a strategiy to win, however.  It may not be cooked up in a convention or put on paper, but the party and its allies are in lockstep.  Democrats so far have had no campaign theme that attacks GOP candidates for Congressional seats other than"" look what we can try to do for you."  that was better than Donald Trump.  In the meantime, the electorate has not gotten that message per the polls. One way to counter that might be to go on attack against the GOP for more than just being obstructionists, but to show them with a strategy to make things worse. Exposing their strategy might be one way to dramatize the contrast.   Here are some GOP strategies that could be attacked with the overall theme that not only did the GOP block Biden's agenda, but they also inflicted more pain on Americans, especially their own followers,

  60 percent of voters leaning to the GOP are the ones who have chosen not to get vaccinated and are overwhelmingly occupying hospitals and dying with COVID. It brings to mind an old Spike Jones song, "you always hurt the one you love."   GOP strategy #1: Draw out COVID's demise and then blame Biden for not ending the pandemic. The top of the list is the slow recovery from the COVID pandemic and the harbor and nurture the GOP and allied media give to the anti-vaxxers and disinformation.  When over 80 percent of Democrats got their shots, bringing us closer to herd immunity, those identifying themselves as Republicans have a 40% rate, and ironically, they are the ones who are ending up in hospitals and dying while the GOP leadership takes glee in blaming Biden for not bringing the pandemic under control as he promised in his campaign.  Biden did not cause the omicron variant, but he is attacked for not curing it because he did not get testing kits out fast enough.  Testing kits are not a cure, but they have value in giving the direction of those with symptoms of the virus to take the next step, including deciding whether to go get more accurate testing, go to work, or go to the hospital. When a critical mass gets immunity or it can no longer be spread to others, then the pandemic dies out. Wearing masks, getting shots, or surviving a COVID infection are the only ways to bring this scourge to a close. Not wearing masks, not getting shots just prolong this as the virus works its way through the unvaccinated. Those more effective N95 masks are in the mail to you courtesy of the Biden administration. but that only helps if they are worn, and the most likely not to wear them are the anti-maskers/anti-vaxxers. It has become a sign of loyalty to the GOP, and Donald Trump, not to wear a mask, and not to get vaccinated. For those who wear them, they will be less likely to infect others or to suffer breakthroughs. The ones who suffer the most from hospitalization are 80% unvaccinated, inspired by the GOP and their media adherents spouting misinformation.

GOP strategy #2. Protect the second amendment from any common-sense legislation then blame Biden for gun violence.  Law and order has been a time-tested winning political plank for Republicans when all else fails. Gun violence is mostly an urban problem, but there is much handwringing that there are just too many guns and criminals on the streets so blame Biden for not cracking down  Not only has the Biden administration signed bills to increase funding to police, Biden is advocating even more funding for them  . Wait a minute. Isn't the GOP the chief advocate against any attempt to restrict the second amendment and has been in the clutches of the NRA for years? The GOP did grab onto the most ill-thought-out slogan uttered by some,  "defunding police", but the reality is that funding police has increased under Biden, even to the extent of his looking the other way while some of the COVID bailout money went to more community policing.   What the GOP has tapped into is white fear of "others", even though the bulk of gun violence is centered in urban centers that is not where their base lives. It plays well among those who are uneasy with the changing demographics of the country so it has great political value to their political leaders to keep the racial dog whistles tooting.  Top of that dog-whistling to white racists is the anti-critical race theory crusade.  Exhibit number one is the legislation in Florida forbidding teaching any history of US race relations that would make white people uncomfortable.  While CRT is not being taught in any school and no one is sure what critical race theory means anyway (maybe wokeness, maybe reminding us of both the bad and the good in our history), no one doubts why it is being embraced by the GOP, who can count on those who identify themselves as registered or leaning to that party that is over 80% white.   Update 4/20/22 She speaks for me. My mantra Hate is not a Christian value...and I am a white, straight, Christian, suburban mom, who has been speaking out for over 60 years. it is good to know my speaking out has others thinking the same way.

Repeat: Hate won't win...my new slogan. Thanks, Mallory.
Michigan Sen. Mallory McMorrow blasts fellow Sen. Lana Theis in viral floor speech

GOP strategy #3: Bemoan the economy, ignore and forget the Biden COVID relief legislation, stop any attempt to provide economic relief to the middle class and blame Biden for inflation. The GOP as a whole has made it a policy to keep the middle-class suffering from the stresses and strains on the economy by stonewalling and combatting the Biden agenda.   Build Back Better was aimed at childcare costs, child tax credits, tuition debt among burdens on them. In this case, Biden's COVID relief legislation he successfully got passed had some unforeseen benefits and negatives when his COVID relief packages providing subsidies with checks in your bank accounts also acted as a stimulus to offset the economic disaster of COVID that was shutting down the economy.  Among those benefits were a nearly 6% growth in the economy at a rate not seen for decades, full employment, also at a rate not seen in decades, and much consumer pent up demand to buy stuff they had put off buying during Covid, . This was made worse with a worldwide impact of supply shortages and import supply chain messes resulting in inflation.  Biden has little power to do much about that except to put pressure on port authorities to take measures to stop the dock logjam, which they have done in time for Christmas, to get passed the infrastructure shot to transportation modernization, and to appoint responsible, rational actors to the Federal Reserve, which is now taking steps to combat inflation by slowly increasing interest rates.  The GOP's solution? Vote against the Build Back Better legislation, keep the Trump tax relief for billionaires, and only focus on one negative, inflation.  

GOP strategy #4: Subvert and suppress election integrity and blame Democrats for fraud in the last election. What about election integrity? For Democrats it means free and fair election for everyone. For Republicans it means keeping certain people from voting and have voting supervised by their own partisan loyalists.  This issue is wrapped up in partisan self-interest, with Democrats wanting to make it convenient for everyone to vote and the GOP trying to make it hard for those who might vote for Democrats from voting. Both groups claim they have the key to election integrity/, One side wants to keep those of color from voting by limiting their access to mail-in and drop-boxes, a technique carefully targeted to certain neighborhoods. To bolster this, they have drummed up even more promotion of the big lie, undiminished after 60 court rulings against them and the failure of even their own conducted "forensic audits" to find enough evidence to overturn the last election after over a year of trying., The proponents of the big lie ignore the lack of evidence there was fraud in 2020 and persist with the most anti-integrity drive possible. They are passing state laws to put the administration and vote counting in the hands of their partisan loyalists, and out of the hands of election officials elected and directly accountable to voters. Instead of improving voter integrity, the GOP is making a mockery of voting integrity. subjecting election night to suspicion and challenges and further chaos and cheating in 2022 and in the future.  Biden is on the true integrity side on this issue while the GOP is fixing what is not broke with a plan that would undermine the integrity of fair and free elections and feather their own vote nest.

The problem for Democrats in the midterms is to get these GOP-engineered roadblocks in the rearview mirror by November. Timing is everything. Omicron may become less of an issue as those unvaccinated get some degree of natural immunity by surviving a COVID infection.  The gradual increase in interest rates is the only tool that cools off inflation. Manufacturing and distribution realign with consumer demand in time. Much of this is out of Biden's power to do much with inflation, but prospects are good it will become less of an issue as the Fed measures take hold.  The attempt to suppress and subvert the voting process is beginning to be called out by the courts, and that too may put some brakes on the worst practices. Gun violence on urban streets in some cities has had good reduction results by adopting best practices of community policing and more cops on the beat. Some of the violence was related to COVID and kids not in classrooms, and back to school may also help.  All of these factors might be enough to blunt these GOP initiatives and to head off a midterm Democratic party wipeout in November. 

Unvaccinated Adults are Now More Than Three Times as Likely to Lean Republican than Democratic | KFF

https://www.statesman.com/story/news/politics/politifact/2022/01/14/unvaccinated-people-17-times-more-likely-hospitalized/6511901001/

 In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines | Pew Research Center Four-in-ten Democratic registered voters are now nonwhite (black, Hispanic, Asian and other nonwhite racial groups), compared with 17% of the GOP.

Biden calls for more funding for police in US cities — Quartz (qz.com)

Biden signs bipartisan bills providing additional resources for police | TheHill

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