This is an update and revision and repost of an April 17-May 12 2022 post because of the profound impact on the 2022 midterms a leaked draft of a majority Supreme Court decision expected in June., The demographic that can make a difference are the younger voters around my grandchildren's voting age:. An excellent primer on the issue written in simple English was provided by USA Todqy. You may run into a paywall, but it is worth it. What happens if the Supreme Court overturns Roe v Wade on abortion? (usatoday.com) What's next: the morning after pill?
A CBS poll show Roe v Wade retention is the highest in its history and women feel threatened . Most who support Roe see Supreme Court's potential overturn as a danger to women, other rights — CBS News poll - CBS News So far how will this translate to the midterm vote and turnout? Not much yet, but it may be too early to feel. The problem are is with younger voters who do not see how voting can make a difference. CNN poll: The Supreme Court's draft opinion on Roe v. Wade hasn't shaken the midterm landscape - CNNPolitics Pro-choice activists have their work cut out for them.
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Within a day after the leak of the majority draft that would overturn Roe v Wade, the right wing wanted you to focus on the "whodunnit" issue and the left made it a voter turnout opportunity for their base that had been mired in the doldrums
. Opinion writers speculated on the demise of the Supreme Court power for being too ideological to be an independent bank of judges just ruling on whether this or that issue conforms with the Constitution. Because the vast majority of the voters want Roe v Wade to survive, the Court is in danger of being so out of step with the majority of the nation, the respect for the Court will also diminish. What is clear on the abortion issue, the Supreme Court's radicalism and swing to the right will cause the political focus to ignore the Supreme Court's majority's decree whatever it is and the action and power centers will be the federal and state legislatures and their makeup in 2022 and 2024.
Updated 5/3/22
https://www.usatoday.com/story/nletter/2022/05/03/leaked-abortion-draft-opinion-russias-next-moves-daily-briefing/9625726002/?utm_source=usatoday-Daily%20Briefing&utm_medium=email&utm_campa
This leaked draft of a likely Supreme Court decision to end Roe v Wade should smack younger generations of voters between their eyes. My message to my grandchildren: Get out of your funk and vote.
Aside from personal views on the matter, the GOP pro-life position on abortion makes Republicans more vulnerable than ever to exploitation by Democrats in 2022 due to some states taking ultra-extreme measures to ban abortions and to defy the intent of Roe v Wade. These extreme laws will likely spark a backfire. Democrats can charge that Republicans are using government to force compliance of their extreme pro-life belief on an unwilling majority or half of their constituency. They are handing Democrats a hot button issue in swing Congressional and state legislative districts in November. The task Democrats have is to raise awareness of the voters who believe government should not be the tool for the advancement of a religious/cultural group to which they do not subscribe. The target constituency for Democrats is precisely the demographic group that Biden is losing at this time, younger voters who otherwise is mired in cynicism and still unhappy Bernie did not win. Younger Voters Are Turning on Biden More Than Any Other Age Group: Poll (newsweek.com) Nothing that would warm the hearts of this demographic best would be relieved of student debt. The message: elections do and still have consequences and failure for them to vote is a vote against preserving their right to choose. The message to them is that elections have consequences and in 2022 and 2024 the younger generations of voters will have the critical ability to change the future. The target should be whether their vote is registered in elections that will make the difference, especially for state legislatures, Congress, and the presidency. A good example of that is even if the Supreme Court kills Roe v Wade at the federal level, Colorado just passed a law because it has a legislature that is Democratic and a governor of the same party, Roe v Wade is protected by a new law in the state. However, a future GOP-dominated statehouse can reverse that, and with the blessing of an ideological and politicized court. In fact, it will clear the way, for a federal ban, wiping out state Roe v Wade-like protections. The only action to counter that is for Congress to pass a law protecting a woman's right to choose. IF the Supreme Court overturns a 50 years worth of prior decisions, they have paved the way for banning birth control, gay marriage, and other related rights gained by Court decisions that we thought were "settled law". If the Court persists with overturning Roe v Wade, protection of "settled law" in any other field, race, or whatever, is no longer a valid argument or reason to keep laws already on the books that are based backed up by Court decisions, public opinion be hanged.. Get out of your funk, younger generations. Wake up and act.
The GOP is using government to impose a culture on many who do not embrace it. Nearly 60% of those polled in the US support a women's right to choose in most instances. Even in the most conservative states like Texas and Oklahoma, the voters split equally on the issue. In spite of that, nonetheless the GOP dominated state legislatures and statehouses in Texas and Oklahoma passed some of some of the most restrictive laws in the country that ban abortion de facto or outlaw them nearly altogether. Perhaps they were inspired and counting on challenges to the laws ending up in the Supreme Court now dominated with three new justices who passed the litmus test of pro-life when the GOP last held the Senate majority. Expectations are that Roe v Wade will be overturned or so damaged to be ineffective. Elections had consequences that made that Court majority anti-abortion. Future elections can still have consequences, too as these polls show to elect representatives who would support legislation that protects a woman's right to choose in law, as was just enacted in Colorado, to no longer rely on judges chosen for their bias. Gov. Polis signs bill aiming to protect abortion access in Colorado | KUNC https://www.cpr.org/2022/05/
https://www.usatoday.com/story/nletter/2022/05/03/leaked-abortion-draft-opinion-russias-next-moves-daily-briefing/9625726002/?utm_source=usatoday-Daily%20Briefing&utm_medium=email&utm_campa
Gov. Polis signs bill aiming to protect abortion access in Colorado | KUNC
Colorado Voters Defeated a 22-Week Abortion Ban - The Atlantic
Why a 'baffling' murder charge in Texas worries abortion advocates (usatoday.com)
Kevin Stitt, Oklahoma governor, signs near-total ban on abortion into law - CNNPolitics Even in Oklahoma, the voters are equally split on the rights of women to choose Abortion Poll Results for Oklahoma voters (isidewith.com)
In Texas the polls were similar: "About 46 percent of adults support the Texas law, which bans abortions after six weeks of pregnancy and deputizes private citizens to enforce it through civil lawsuits. About the same amount — 47 percent of adults — oppose the law. The remaining 7 percent were undecided." More than half of men favor Texas' abortion ban, poll shows (19thnews.org)
Easy for men to say since they will never be in the situation of having to choose.
59% of Americans say abortion should be legal | Pew Research Centereven
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