Thursday, November 23, 2023

Will Trump be kicked off the Colorado ballot? It is more possible than I thought. Update: 12//19/2023

Trump knocked off of primary ballot per Colorado Supreme Court, ruling that Trump did indeed participate in an insurrection, incited Januar 6 riot, and was indeed an officer of the United States. His incitement speech was not protected by the first amendment. Now on to the Supreme Court.

 

Prior post: 

When the suit was filed, I thought the first issue would be to prove to a court that Trump was responsible for an insurrection. That suit should have waited for Jack Smith to get a guilty verdict. That turned out to not be in question in the judge's opinion. She ruled Trump was an insurrectionist. What is really significant about this is that the judge held a trial, called witnesses, and heard evidence. That is the first time such was ruled in a Court process. (Impeachment is a political process, not a judicial one). This Colorado case was a civil suit, requiring only one side to be more believable than the other based on a preponderance of evidence. Harder to do is Jack Smith's case, which requires a jury to conclude Trump was guilty because there was no doubt in reasonable minds. The proof needed was the "beyond reasonable doubt n effect; it is harder for a prosecutor to win a criminal case than a citizen to win a civil one. A trial finding a defendant guilty could result in jail time. Civil suits seek monetary or remedial actions. To those who think this is a plot by Democrats, get a grip on yourselves. Those who brought the suit are traditional Republicans and independents. For American democracy, upholding this lower court decision would be a good thing; for Democrats, not so much since Trump is an easy target to attack and is a known quantity/quality. Others in the race for the Republican nomination would have to be defined in negative terms to make such a contrast. In the end, it may be the question of women's rights that brings down the GOP and whether the candidate, if not Trump, is for a federal law banning abortions.

Clarifying the application of the 14th Amendment to a presidential candidate would be the expected result of the legal issue that will now go to the Colorado Supreme Court. Still, the concept that a candidate who tried to engineer a coup to overturn the democratic process should be given another opportunity to destroy democracy as we have known it would be hard to swallow. Running the 2024 race and winning will still be difficult because of the lack of enthusiasm for Biden, so it appears now. Going negative against Trump is his best hope. What is really significant about this is that the judge held a trial and called witnesses regarding whether Trump deserved to be guilty of being an insurrectionist, and she ruled he did. That is the first time such was ruled in a Court process. (Impeachment is a political process, not a judicial one). This article presents experts opining that factual findings are rarely overturned by appeal judges but questions whether the results are in compliance with the Constitution.. This constitutional issue will, without doubt, be decided by the Supreme Court (SCOTUS), dominated by Trump appointees. It is where the issue is likely to meet its fate and die on the altar of the majority. A possibility is that SCOTUS would rule that a decision by the Court is too important of an issue to be decided by the Court, so the decision must be made by the voters in this democracy. and refuse to hear it, leaving lower court decisions to stand in Colorado alone but inviting other states to attempt a suit with other arguments. Of course, the last time the court actually made such a profound and critical decision was when it ruled against Al Gore in 2000 and made his opponent president. They did it once before, and they could do it again. Gore honored the decision and did not attempt an insurrection like loser Trump did in 2020-2021. The Big Lie still persists in the minds of most in the GOP, even after over three years of trying to prove there was enough fraud to justify that belief. It failed in every court decision, and every audit, including "forensic" ones conducted by Trump supporters, is a matter of mass delusion based on wishful thinking. The Differences Between a Criminal Case and a Civil Case - FindLaw

It's the economy, stupid? Perception counts in politics

 Perception is not reality, but perception is what counts in politics.  Most think they themselves are doing OK, but it is the economy that is not. If the economy is so awful, why are consumers spending so much? J.D. Power-GlobalData Forecast November 2023 (yahoo.com)  Biden has not yet found his messaging on the most significant current political dilemma.  The answer may be: their jobs are secure so they feel safe to spend. US consumers feel good about their jobs but bad about the economy (qz.com) .  Gas prices are down, as are so many consumer goods, but housing costs are not.  The major problem is that prices have not returned to pre-covid ones fresh in their memories and never will.   Biden has so far not come to grips with this either, trying to convince voters they are deluding themselves.  That clearly has not worked. 

There is a shift in priorities of American values some polls are detecting. Personal financial status has become even more important recently, eclipsing even some cultural ones.  The importance of money and personal finances in people's lives, per a recent poll, may even be eclipsing even religious and cultural concerns. Measuring Trends in Americans' Personal Values (gallup.com)

 Instead, consumers think the economy will get worse. That attitude will be hard to change when the Fed keeps saying it will raise interest rates again. One question still on the table is whatever happened to the predicted recession? It did not happen. Why? Shouldn't Biden get credit for this?  One answer is that Biden supported the team at the Fed, which has managed inflation competently.  The downside to that is that high interest rates are not popular, either. In any case, it's complicated. 

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/inflation-rate-july-2023-how-high-low-will-interest-rates-rise-again-rcna99015

 The question is what can Biden take credit for, honestly?  One thing is certain, demagogue Trump has never had a problem  with spouting off dishonestly taking credit when credit is not due and damning an opponent when results happen when his target has events beyond  control.

  Until Biden can devise better messaging, he can only hope to show that Trump would worsen things in so many other areas of their lives, including the economy.  He just has not done the economy part.  Two recent articles that provide the macro facts (I'm ok, but the economy is not), Biden has got to get it down to the micro, personal lives. I know we are not there yet, and in some areas, it is already better. Jobs paying more than inflation are plentiful, and inflation is down from 10% to 3 (or so), but we will never get there if Trump is the next president.  

  The theory is the price at the pump is the best measure and with prices down. why hasn't Biden made more about this? True, a president is at the mercy of the oil cartels for price per barrel, but if prices go up and the get the blame, why not take the credit or make a big deal of it when prices go down? The least Biden could do is remind voters about prices without taking credit for it. Not a peep from the White House, however. Trump would do is raise prices on all with his high tariffs, among some, his anti-union stance on wages and benefits and his refusal to give student loan relief some ideas. and his giving tax relief to the ultra-rich while continuing his fantasy of trickle-down, which hurt the vast middle class.  "You may wish the economy was better, but Trump would make it worse"  is going to have to be the best message for now, and he better be making it to reverse his slide at the polls.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/27/business/mcdonalds-burger-economy-nightcap/index.html


Tuesday, November 21, 2023

No more pussyfooting around. Time to call Trump a " wannabe fascist dictator?"

The New York Times today made a case for calling Trump a fascist, though they still tagged him with being a wannabe "autocrat. It was front page. While  The Times itself did not call Trump a fascist, it instead presented the evidence of how he fit the definition. Trump’s Dire Words Raise New Fears About His Authoritarian Bent - The New York Times (nytimes.com) Too bad America cannot get the full article because of the paywall. Still, the probability is frightening he could get his hands on the ability to carry out his plans.  This is not bloviating by a crazy, out-of-control megalomaniac. The Heritage Foundation has the money and the pre-vetted lists of loyalists who will replace the executive branch appointees not pledging loyalty or having a history of disloyalty to Trump. They are ready to go the minute Trump takes the oath of office and to get the job done within his term. MUFTIC FORUM BLOG: How the Heritage Foundation plans to turn us into a one party autocracy There is a large mass of Americans who already buy into\, ignore, or even applaud what he promises to do if he gets into the White House again.  They tacitly or consciously approve of his breaking the rule of law to do what he promised.  FromThe Times article:" A survey released last month by the Public Religion Research Institute found that 38 percent of Americans supported having a president willing to break some rules” to “set things right” with the country. Among Republicans surveyed, 48 percent backed that view."  Once Trump is successful in implementing his plans for citizens to take back democracy as they once knew it,  it is too late. Citizens have, by then, lost the power to do it through the ballot because the ballot is also under the control of Trump and his followers. There are plenty wanting to take his place if age overtakes Trump. If you are applauding what Trump is planning, you need to look in the mirror and wonder if you, too, have earned the tag of fascist.

 The Times article includes evidence of how Trump fits the definition. But first, the definition is based upon an analysis of past and current dictators (whatever their rationalization to garner personal power) .  "Fascism is generally understood as an authoritarian, far-right system of government in which hypernationalism is a central component. It also often features a cult of personality around a strongman leader, the justification of violence or retribution against opponents, and the repeated denigration of the rule of law", said Peter Hayes, a historian who has studied the rise of fascism...".   Another export source quoted in the Times article also said such fascist dictators rose to power by catering to those who think they have been victimized. "Past fascist leaders appealed to a sense of victimhood to justify their actions, he said. “The idea is: ‘We’re entitled because we’ve been victimized. We’ve been cheated and robbed."

My comment follows: Getting really close to Trump earning the tag: "wannabe fascist dictator". The pussyfoot term in use in the polite and liberal press has been "autocrat."  Way too kind for someone who now promises to imprison his opponents and is already making his enemies list that he will use for (his) Department of Justice loyalists to indict and jail, which he adds to daily. Maybe just "dictator" will do.  On the other hand, if the bird walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it probably is a duck. Trump is quacking like a fascist, and others are walking and acting like fascists on his behalf.  Today, it is Liz Cheney.  When he threatens to imprison any general who refused to call up the active military to put down demonstrations against him abusing the insurrection act, what does that describe?  If he promises to use the FCC to shut down media news who does not support him, where have you heard that before?,   If he describes those opposing him as "vermin"n" and says that illegal immigrants will contaminate "our blood",  he took a page from the German fascism of Goebbels and Hitler? That is how fascists get citizens to go along with their persecution by making them these targets less than human or lesser than their ruling class. Empathy has no place in that society. Even better, make the lesser than your race or class to blame for your ills and deserving your hatred. and oppression. Examples of that are Jewish bankers and, now, personified by George Soros by contemporary anti-semites. For Trump, the target is the "deep state, who dared during his first term to tell him "no."  That includes Genera Milley who refused to use active military to put down domestic protest. Root it out, he says, and replace it with his loyalists.   And if you tend to excuse this as just demagoguery, bloviating, and entertaining, you are a fool because the plans are already there and being funded to replace every executive decision appointee identified as "disloyal to Trump", including more of the judiciary, and lists of the loyal are being gathered, he can do it within four years.  Won't the Civil Rights Act or the Constitutional amendments protect minorities' access to the ballot? Not if yesterday's federal judges ruled that complaints about such violations can only be brought by the Justice Department, not citizens. That one will eventually make it to the Trump-appointed Supreme Court, which already gutted the rest of the Voting Rights Act.  Violence in support of Trump is approved and justified, not just on January 6.   If there is no ruile of law, there is the rule of Trump, and that one raised alarm bells even among conservatives. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/21/anti-trump-conservative-lawyers

Trump Vows to appoint special prosecutor to ‘go after’ Biden if former president wins in 2024 | The Hill



Monday, November 20, 2023

Happy Birthday, Mr. President. Let us celebrate you are the adult in the room.

 O fer Gawd's sake, awful day, sez the right-wing gloating press. Biden just turned 81. ( while Trump is in the upper 70's).Happy Birthday, President Biden. You are the adult in the room. Let's celebrate it. You have shown that your head is fit, and Trump's is not. Donald-trump-poses-the-biggest-danger-to-the-world-in-2024 per the influential Economist as alarm bells go off worldwide.  https://www.axios.com/2023/11/16/economist-trump-2024-presidential.

 Biden looks old but is still fit to do the job to make us safer and help us cope with daily problems. Trump beams well-coiffed and ruddy power, beating his chest in macho exuberance on the golf course and channeling others' hatred and fears, but whose adolescent attitude of revolt (don't tell me no, I can't do that, and I'll get revenge and I'll come after you if you try) makes him unfit enough to be president and surround himself with yes people loyalists. Biden's safe, conducting democracy as we have known it. Trump's a danger to our stability, wanting to turn it into his personal autocracy and devote his energy and attention to getting revenge on his opponents. Biden has years of experience and first-hand dealing with world problems. Trump's for just folding up his tent and retreating into the fantasy of 1930s isolationism. (We know how that ended, a two-front World War as Germany and Japan isolationism as perceived weakness and declared war on us) ..

Noted: Biden's stamina is enough to run against a younger man who tops the chart for an ego-driven, self-serving personality with a lust to be our next dictator, who called Hamas the bean dip hummus, forgot what city he was in from the platform, cozies up to Putin and other beloved autocrats/dictators thinking flattery will get him everywhere (his imitation is its best form of flattery). He has a long record of exhorting, approving, and leading supporters to commit violence and the use of active military to put down demonstrations by opponents. He conveniently forgets he once stoked Islamaphobia, keeping Muslims out of the country, now including Gaza refugees, and took credit for ending Roe v Wade, calling those who oppose him "vermin" and raising fear that "immigrants' will contaminate our blood". They will bring disease to our country (while calling to imprison Fauci, who advocated vaccinations to protect us from disease). In the meantime, Biden is acting like presidents ought to work caring about our national security, doing shuttle diplomacy, dealing hands-on with two wars, and having significant talks with our greatest adversary, China, that re-established military-to-military communications so we don't stumble onto WWWIII while running for a second term and keeping America a democracy.

 https://www.axios.com/2023/11/16/economist-trump-2024-presidential.

MUFTIC FORUM BLOG: What Trump plans for his second term and how he will do it