Showing posts with label Electoral College. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Electoral College. Show all posts

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Why do rural states like Iowa get so much attention in primaries?

Why do the rural states get so much attention in political primaries? Are they a barometer of the outcome of a presidential race?   Why the focus on suburban women and not on others like those in rural-dominated states like Iowa?  They reason: suburban women are key swing votes in the key swing states that will determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.  Most rural states are already heavily red, and their electoral votes are easy to predict.  That is why national polls showing Trump still appealing to many women voters need to be taken with a grain of salt.  The rural population of the US is much, much smaller than urban/suburban residents, however, yet their voices are still heard disproportionately given the electoral college advantage given rural areas over more urban states. There are vast cultural differences and fewer similarities with urban/suburban voters. Lack of broadband and isolation make them more receptive to right wing media. 

The Electoral College and the Rural-Urban Divide - The Aspen

 Institutehttps://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2018/05/22/demographic-and-economic-trends-in-urban-suburban-and-rural-communities 

The most important voters in America, it seems, are the least crowded (msn.com)

Some personal notes. I was born and grew up in......     

A word about rural women based upon personal experience and observations:  I come fromagriculture eastern Oklahoma,  was educated and spent post-high school life in both major urban centers, Chicago, New York, and Denver, but always with one foot still in rural America, part and full time in Grand County Colorado.  Rodeo is my favorite spectator sport (football, second). I've been an exhibitor at Denver's National Western Stock Show, a participant in FFA awards banquets in my PR capacity, and with a daughter who learned sewing skills in 4-H.. Ranch wives are some of the toughest women I know, and they participate fully in every activity their physical strength allows plus mending fences and childrearing, and feeding their families. I've seen them compete in rodeo sports like team roping and dominate barrel racing. They are equal ranch hand partners with their husbands. However, they and indigenous women may not be discriminated against in office or in town occupations, but they are also victims of domestic violence, and a new focus has disappeared. indigenous women's plight recently. Where urban and suburban women differed culturally from their rural counterparts was that they often had to work outside the home to make ends meet or to satisfy their personal goals. They tend to be more educated. Equal pay and on-the-job sexual harassment are issues to which they relate. They have more contact with those of diverse racial, religious, and cultural backgrounds than their rural counterparts. 

. My late husband, an ob-gyn, had practices both in Grand County and Denveer's urban front range, and he was active in supporting non-profit organizations serving victims of domestic abuse and violence, a curse that does not discriminate between urban,   suburban women, ranch wives and native Americans on and off reservations. Domestic violence is common to them all. Rural women are moms and high school sweethearts, where family planning is still important. In rural areas of Oklahoma, I recall it was the "bible belt", now a culture of religious evangelicals. However,  domestic violence is a crime and law enforcement issue where ever. women live, and it is not always a women's rights issue of choice and gender equality that resonates politically...

Bridging the Gap between Urban, Suburban, and Educational History (trincoll.edu)

How urban, suburban and rural residents’ view social and political issues | Pew Research Center

Sexual Violence and Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women | RAINN

"Silent Crisis" - Thousands of Missing and Murdered Native Americans: Professor Lewerenz is quoted - North Dakota Law (und.edu)

About 46 million Americans live in the nation's rural counties, 175 million in its suburbs and small metros and about 98 million in its urban core counties.May 22, 2018

Tuesday, November 28, 2023

We are no longer a 50-50 nation but a 60-40 one on public policy issues

 One of the dilemmas of politics is that when it comes to public opinion of Biden v Trump, it looks like, given the moment, it is 46% v 46 percent, but on  certain public policy issues, the GOP polling is at best around 40% and below.   That is true whether the question is about abortion, Obamacare,, and democracy v autocracy/dictatorship. The wind is in Biden's sails on all three because all three will affect individuals' lives for the following reasons: keeping women in control of their lives instead of a  government telling them, giving people a chance to protest, make their case, and be heard and then counted in a fair and free vote, and a feeling of security that they can continue to afford health care for themselves and their family, thanks to Obamacare and whether they depend on it now or may see a need in the future. 

 Trump is on the wrong side of those three issues, bent on consolidating his appeal to the 40% with his newest call for ending Obamacare. Why Trump's vow to repeal Obamacare is a gift to Democrats (axios.com)   https://www.kff.org/interactive/kff-health-tracking-poll-the-publics-views-on-the-aca 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/trump-vows-to-replace-obamacare-with-his-own-alternative/ar-AA1m1tQH?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=DCTS&cvid=98071fbc094c42be8ac2b13479f19510&ei=24

We have heard that from the GOP the day Obamacare became law. They have this great plan which somehow never materializes. Just trust them, they say. Then comes Trump. Trust him, he says. Ok. Show us how and what. Otherwise it is the usual GOP BS, only you make it your brand as well.

 

 It is also true about democracy v autocracy. About 18%  of Americans want an autocracy; another 22% lean that way or are tolerant.  That 40% either favor or don't care whether we have a democracy or actually support a dictatorship like Trump is promising is frightening, but not a majority either. However, 48% of Republicans favor authoritarianism.  The good news is that there is a 20% tilt for continuing democracy as we know it, and there are some of the 20% of fellow travelers favoring autocracy are not that solid. https://www.prri.org/research/threats-to-american-democracy-ahead-of-an-unprecedented-presidential-election/.  

 So far as abortion is concerned, every red state permitting something similar to Roe V Wade to be voted on has supported choice. Few US adults support full abortion bans, an AP-NORC poll finds | AP News

The economy and Biden's economics are praised by the experts but not by the voters, and we have no idea what they will be the mood a year from now. Making a positive case for the economy has been a bust. Biden delivers, ok, but voters still resent prices have not returned to pre-covid, and interest rates are a killer. Border security is an unresolved issue.  The answer is that Biden and the Democrats need to make their case for re-election to stop Trump and MAGA to protect choice, democracy, and their health care for now, as it appears Trump has the GOP nomination sewed up.

 From the Washington Post article, here's why the legal issue facing Trump has little or no resonance with Republicans. 4 out 5 think it is political persecution: "Despite the obvious evidence for Trump’s wrongdoing — the Capitol riot, the documents found at Mar-a-Lago, the attempts to overturn the election results in Georgia — most Americans told YouGov pollsters in August that they viewed the charges as intended to block Trump politically. About 4 in 5 Republicans held that view." The significance of these trials is that they fortify fear of a second-term Trump. Still, the worst-case scenario is that they will not be resolved and will be slow walked to after November 2024 and fence-sitting voters will be left in ignorance about whether the Big Lie was truth or fantasy.  It is central to the democracy v dictatorship issue but not fatal because Trump's recent words about his future plans are plenty to make the case:  he is a wannabe dictator.  MUFTIC FORUM BLOG: Trump is running on a platform to become a dictator, updated 12/11/2023

Here's the problem: National polls mean little if they are not overwhelmingly widespread.  They must be more than majority opinion in a specific number of swing states to affect the outcome of the electoral college, which, right now, tilts the election to exaggerate the impact of rural, conservative states.   The bad news is that the electoral college system causes outcomes that do not favor the majority of public opinion to be the winners. For that reason, for any issue to determine the outcome of the presidential race, public opinion must be in the 60% range in favor of continuing democracy or pro-choice, for example. 50-50 split is not good enough. Why fewer American voters matter in presidential elections - The Washington Post  The presidential elections may be rigged, but they are rigged in favor of Trump and the GOP..  The Republican Electoral College Advantage | Cook Political Report s Why fewer American voters matter in presidential elections - The Washington Post  The issues of abortion, democracy v dictatorship, and keeping Obamacare have that widespread and public opinion-supported potential.

 

 s

A lot of Americans embrace Trump’s authoritarianism - The Washington Post

https://www.prri.org/research/threats-to-american-democracy-ahead-of-an-unprecedented-presidential-election/.

    

https://www.prri.org/research/threats-to-american-democracy-ahead-of-an-unprecedented-presidential-election/.

Trump Is an Authoritarian. So Are Millions of Americans - POLITICO 

Americans are sleepwalking into a Trump dictatorship (msn.com)

PRRI

  Biden Attacks Trump, Treating Him as De Facto Republican Nominee (msn.com)

 Few US adults support full abortion bans, an AP-NORC poll finds | AP News


What makes a good political candidate? Americans put views of issues above personal traits like religion, race | Pew Research Center

 https://www.kff.org/interactive/kff-health-tracking-poll-the-publics-views-on-the-aca/#?response=Favorable--Unfavorable&aRange=twoYear  

Crime? not high on the Democrat's list, but a biggie among the GOP.  Perhaps the reddest states should look in the mirror regarding gun rights.  https://www.axios.com/2023/10/16/america-gun-deaths-crime-south

Almost a third of Americans still believe the 2020 election result was fraudulent (nbcnews.com)

Few US adults support full abortion bans, an AP-NORC poll finds | AP News

Per Huff Post,  democracy extremely important in 2022: New Polling Shows Democracy Mattered In The 2022 Midterms | HuffPost Latest News

"Six in 10 voters cited protecting democracy as an extremely important reason that they decided to vote in November. This put the issue ahead of inflation (53%), abortion (47%) and crime (45%). When asked to choose the top two issues that motivated them to vote, 50% chose protecting democracy, second only to inflation at 55%.

These findings are largely in line with preelection surveys from The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalCBS NewsNBC NewsQuinnipiac University Poll and the Grinnell College National Poll, as well as exit polling from The Associated PressNBC News and CNN."


Thursday, November 19, 2020

Tyrannical Trump's last stand and democracy is winning

Updated ;11/28/20

Published in the Winter Park Times December 4, 2020 https://winterparktimes.com/opinion/columnists/hats-off-to-those-that-stood-by-the-law/

Updated 12/10/20

Updated: 12/1l/20:Supreme Court rejected the suit Friday afternoon. Democracy wins again and the GOP is no longer grand: just the anti-democracy party.  https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rejects-texas-effort-overturn-election-fatal-blow-trump-    His coup by federal court failed.  He claims to have more tricks up his sleeve to overturn the election and pursue his autocratic dreams. 

In their desperate attempt to stay in power, Donald, Trump and his enablers tried to trash the very definitions of a successful democracy, the faith in the vote of the people, a peaceful transfer of power to a new administration, and the rule of law, instead of the rule of a person. This was Trump's last stand. Finally, Trump was forced by public opinion polls and some in his own party to permit the transition to the Biden administration to proceed, but he did it without admitting the election loss. Judges upheld the rule of law, the vote of the people expressing their will survived to determine the winner, and the transition to the new administration remains peaceful.. The bottom line is democracy is winning. Democracy's survival was a near miss. Exit polls showed Biden voters had public policy issues and abhorrence of Trump's racism on their minds. Even if voters were not motivated by the significance of the difference between rule by the people and rule by a tyrant, the effect was the same. Democracy persisted.

Trump, instead of admitting defeat acknowledged the loss in a backhanded way. He hints at making plans to run again in 2024 and keep control of party discipline with his tyrannical tools of fear, loathing by tweets,, and threats of primary any GOP member of Congress who dare steps out of the loyalty to Trump line. Biden mostly ignored the Trump whoop de doo, kept acting presidential and announcing his cabinet nominees and staff.

The post-November 3 drama played out, but not as Trump supporters had hoped. The Trump strategy was to choose pro-Trump electors instead of Biden electors contrary to the public vote. The plan was activated soon after the November 3 vote..Trump's scheme to overturn the vote and keep himself in power was hardly a secret. Months before election day, Trump had laid the groundwork to claim fraud, that if he lost, it was because Democrats rigged the election. Now that he lost, he tried to rig the vote outcome to self fulfill his prophecy.

He tried every lawyer's trick in the trade. and Rudy Guiliani and his attorneys filed lawsuit after lawsuit, demanding recounts and audits. The out of step Trump lawyers soldiered on to execute their predetermined strategy made obsolete by the unexpected Nov. 3 vote totals. Trump's plot to thwart the vote against him might have been more likely to have succeeded if the size and scope of Trump's defeat had not been so large and spread across such a large number of states, albeit with thin margins in many. He needed to flip 40 electors. It is also darn near impossible to make a case before a judge without any evidence of widespread fraud and demand that thousands of votes should be thrown in the trash. Trump's lawyers failed. The reason: no such evidence has yet been found that would stand up in court.

At the sweat dripping press conference on November 19 held at Republican headquarters in Washington DC, the president's attorney Rudy Guiliani's with his backup cadre of lawyers laid out their purpose to "overturn the vote'". This was in spite of the over 6 million margins with which Biden won the popular vote. and the 306 electoral. votes. Trump's attorney/fixer Rudy Giuliani's strategy of filing lawsuits failed to produce any evidence of widespread fraud and could not stop state certifications of Biden's win in key states, including Pennsylvania and Michigan. Their state laws gave state legislatures no option but to approve the elector slate that reflected the state's certified popular vote winner. Challenges and recounts in Wisconsin continue, but their ten electoral votes are not enough to overturn the electoral college count. Both Pennsylvania, federal appellate, and State Supreme courts ruled against Trump's cases and motions. Next? Supreme Court? Still not enough electoral college votes to overturn the election if they win there.

Even after states like Pennsylvania certified the vote, the tilting at windmills continued as Guiliani and Trump continued their Don Quixote act, keeping up the charade that Trump won by a landslide. They claim the vote against them was because of fraud, and they " have affidavits to prove it." Of course, if they did, they would have presented them in court to provide the evidence they needed to win a case. . Their batting average in courts was zero. If they had come into court with the affidavits in hand, they would have had to swear to the truth and jeopardize their law licenses if they lied. That is in itself evidence the "affidavits" were pumped up hot air to keep the Trump supporter morale inflated. Nonetheless, Trump's attorneys continued making claims after judges ruled. They filed appeals, demanded recounts, and audits, and opined on friendly Trump media while Trump's cohorts continued fundraising to cover campaign debt and lawyer fees.

Trump's team also directed their bully fire at the certification officials and schmoozed them in the White House. Trump summoned the Michigan GOP members of their state legislature to the White House on November 20 in order to persuade them. It takes guts to be brave and to tell a tyrant president no, especially one who governs by fear of a tweet or threatens a primary next election cycle. Hats off to the legislators and certifiers who stood by the law. More despicable acts were death threats that are the modus operandi of the violent Trump supporters who disagree with any secretary of state or election official Just ask the Secretary of State of Georgia what that is like..and he is a Republican. Or ask the Michigan governor and state officials, too, whose plots to kill them were thwarted by the FBI. The last state to certify the vote outcome? December 1. By December 8 per Federal law, governors must sign and provide the names of electors... The electoral college vote takes place on December 14.

On December 1, Bill Barr, Attorney General and Trump Loyalist reported the DOJ could not find evidence of widespread fraud in an interview with the Associated Press.

Wisconsin Federal Court Shames Trump, GOP, & Kraken With Dismissal (bipartisanreport.com)

.https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-elections-william-barr-b1f1488796c9a98c4b1a9061a6c7f49d

‘Voters, not lawyers, choose the president’: Appeals court shoots down Trump suit in Pennsylvania (msn.com)

Pennsylvania Supreme Court dismisses lawsuit against mail ballots with prejudice in another defeat for Trump (msn.com)

Trump Election Fraud Allegations Disgraceful Endgame to 2020 Reelection Effort | National Review

This Election Result Won’t Be Overturned - WSJ

Fact check: Biden won popular, Electoral College votes in several battleground states (msn.com) Fact checking Guiliani et al.

CNN’s Tapper Shreds GOP For Enabling Trump as He Foments Post-Election Threats: ‘Did You Not Know Who This Man Was?’ (msn.com)

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The following Yahoo op ed lays out exactly how Trumpism nearly wiped out democracy and came too close to installing authoritarian rule. There are reforms which could protect us from that again. The op ed expresses thisclearly...and it is worth serious consideration. Op-Ed: To stamp out Trumpism, the U.S. needs to deal with these six things (yahoo.com)

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Trump's attempt to get Michigan's lawmakers to send Trump electors to the Electoral College failed. Meeting with him in the White House on 11/20, they gave him a lesson on the process and "found no reason" yet of fraud or the vote total would change. In short, they told him "no" as a group in a diplomatic way but left the door open to keep on looking for fraud as if recounts and audits would find the 20,000 frauds. On November 23, Michigan's certification board certified the election and Biden won. End of that Michigan vote-stealing strategy. Georgia's GOP Secretary of State, Brad Raffensperger 11/20 certified the Biden win in their state and stood bravely on principle in spite of death threats and White House pressure. He said "no", though he was a proud supporter of Trump., while saying "Numbers don't lie" . Monday, 11/23 was Pennsylvania's certification day but some counties were not finished and the votes they possessed were not enough to make a difference. Two other court challenges elsewhere would not change the vote outcome in their states. A Pennsylvania district court judge threw out the Trump case in a "scathing ruling" on November 21..On November 23, the Penn state Supreme Court rejected Trump's suit to not count certain absentee ballots. The last lawsuit pending was tossed out by the judge in Arizona. In their illogic, they are asking only votes for one candidate for one office, except that the votes for GOP statewide down-ballot candidates would be thrown out, too. The Republican statewide candidates often did better than Trump did and even picked up House seats and kept control of state governments as before Nov.3. . In their racist bent, some Trumpsters are only asking for recounts in counties where there are many African Americans. who overwhelmingly supported Biden, earning a civil rights lawsuit from the NAACP.. 

The fallout, however, will not end. There will always be hard-core Trumpists who will "believe "they was robbed",, will keep on looking. and believing this to justify their anti-democracy extremism. They will continue the search for their leader, a wannabe autocrat/dictator who could rule by fear and iron fist on their behalf, and no one else's, and the rule of laws and the Constitution be damned. He is beginning to spin his tales of election fraud so that his Trumpists will believe he won. Note that the tales he tells has not been brought to court so no one has to swear to the truth. So far every court case his lawyers have brought has been laughed out of court for lack of evidence (they dared not have to swear to tell the truth about their "evidence" or they would have been disbarred.. The Pennsylvania Federal district judge called their legal case a "Frankenstein". However, if he lies to the devoted followers who have swallowed every other lie he has told, he may hold onto enough of them and may have terrorized GOP politicians, we may yet have to deal with him for a few years more. .

The Certification of the 2020 US Election Results is on Schedule. Here's a Timeline. - The New York Times (nytimes.com)https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/19/politics/giuliani-trump-legal-team-press-briefing-fact-check/index.html

Vote certification deadlines in states facing legal challenges from Trump, GOP - The Washington Post

Pennsylvania Judge Halts Further Vote Certification Steps (2) (bloomberglaw.com)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-campaign-tries-to-throw-out-votes-in-wisconsin-recount-11606327239



At Least 4 Pennsylvania Counties To Miss Certification Deadline : NPR

Pennsylvania Supreme Court rejects Trump campaign's effort to block counting certain absentee ballots - CNNPolitics

Federal judge rejects Trump campaign's Pa. lawsuit with prejudice, saying it lacks factual proof - ABC News (go.com)



Georgia certifies election results, making Biden victory official - ABC News (go.com)

  https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/21/trump-campaign-lawsuit-challenging-election-pennsylvania-dismissed/6360749002/


Judge tosses last election lawsuit in Arizona | TheHill

Michigan Lawmakers Tell Trump They See No Reason State’s Election Results Would Change - WSJ

https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-lawyers-promise-to-step-up-fight-to-overturn-election-results-11605828073

Georgia secretary of state: I'm a proud Trump supporter but numbers don't lie - CNN Video

Wisconsin officials: Trump observers obstructing recount (yahoo.com)

BACKGROUND 11/19
.. . It appears that the GOP pre-planned moves were based on a theory that the electoral count be would be dependent on a single state, as it did in Bush v Gore in Florida and there needed to flip only one or two states that voted for Biden substituting them with Trump electors. Should the resulting suit land in the Supreme Court, that contingency plan was made more possible by a stroke of luck, the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and the lightning replacement of her seat with a person Trump thought in his transactional mafia-like mind would vote his way in his belief that the new justice would owe him one. So far judges in lower courts whether appointed by Democrats or Republicans, have rejected suits to overturn the vote brought to them byTrump's cohorts because they were claiming fraud without evidence or they asked the judge to throw the votes out because of some baseless technicality. . The exception is now his last resort:.to use threats and the fear of Trump tweets to force electors to be in defiance to the popular count in their states and vote for Trump in the Electoral College when their state's majority popular vote went for Biden. The Trumpsters are also buying time by screwing up the certification process to pull off such a strategy of sabotaging the electoral college process. If it should happen, expect there to be a court suit slugfest. In a press conference on November 19, Biden did not rule out court action.

Trump has been somewhat successful with convincing his base for now that the claims of fraud are legitimate. Over 70% of Americans polled believe Biden won, but the other third is Foxated, believing Trump media that Trump won, conveying the message of conspiracy theories and charges of intentional criminal irregularities. Half of Republicans still believe the Democrats rigged the election by fraud. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll/half-of-republicans-say-biden-won-because-of-a-rigged-election-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN27Y1AJ For some of these true believers, facts, data, evidence and supporting the democratic process, the rule of law, hold no meaning and they will likely carry to their graves a belief Trump was robbed. OnlyTrump's words count. Fortunately for the continuation of the oldest democracy in the world, they are not the majority. The lasting negative fall out of the post-election day attempt to overturn the vote will be a minority body of antidemocratic forces always nipping at the heels of democracy, looking for a dictator/strong man that will carry out their will., and no one else's.

There may be a beneficial result if this attack on the vote integrity of the electoral college fails. I can imagine more pressure then to eliminate the electoral college system in favor of the direct election of the president based on the national popular vote. The electoral college has a weakness that was exposed in 2020. The electoral college can be exploited in the future to do what a tyrant like Trump is trying to do, to thwart the will of the people. Some have called this maneuver a "coup" like those stunts attempted in banana republics by tinpot dictators desperate to stay in power.. Even if the Electoral College is not replaced by popular demand, there will certainly be a retooling of state elector laws and election certification processes and increased penalties for such misbehavior..

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

How the RNC plans to rig the 2016 elections

The GOP's post election hand wringing has two faces: One is to soul search why they lost the Latino, women, and youth votes. The other is more sinister and under the radar: a move supported by the Republican National Committee to rig the mechanics of our elections to make it easier for the GOP to win in 2016.

If you are one of those Americans frustrated by Congress‘ inability to compromise and angered by a minority in the House that just says “no”, then fasten your seat belts. The strategy cooked up by the RNC is an attempt to thwart public will at the presidential election level. They plan to do it by changing long standing Electoral College rules that allocate electoral votes at the state level. The repercussions would be many, from diminishing the importance of swing states in elections, to increasing the likelihood that presidents would be elected who did not get the majority of the popular vote, and institutionalizing gridlock on the national level for years,

Republicans have succeeded in the past four years in seizing control of more state legislatures and governorships even in states that often vote Democratic in presidential elections. This has, allowed them to gerrymander districts in 2011, drawing lines to make them homogeneous and safe for more Republicans. Now about 158 of the 234 Republicans in the House of Representatives come from “safe” districts, thanks to recent redistricting and gerrymandering. It worked. Democrats failed to regain control of the U.S. House of Representatives in 2012, even though Democratic candidates for Congress won 1 million more votes than Republicans.

Building on their safe district strategy, the RNC has launched a coordinated effort, to change the winner take all Electoral College votes in six states where the GOP controls state houses, but that voted for Pres. Obama in 2012. The plan is to have Electoral College votes be allocated by Congressional district. For example, in Virginia, in 2012, Pres. Obama won the popular vote and took all 13 electoral college votes. If the electoral college votes were allocated by the winner in each separate congressional district, Mitt Romney would have won 9 of Virginia's 13 electoral votes in spite of his losing the popular vote.

Only two states have ever opted for proportional votes. Most have not because a large block of votes garners more power and attention for state interests in Washington than splitting themselves into smaller bits and it is a leading reason why the electoral college system has not been changed. It also may explain why attempts in the Virginia legislature to pass such a scheme were killed last week when the Governor and major GOP legislators withdrew their support.

One complaint about the Electoral College is that the winner is not always the same as the winner of the national popular vote. It has happened four times in 44 presidential elections, but in using the Virginia example ,it is easy to see how the distortion could actually be much worse.

Another up side of requiring a Presidential candidate to win the popular vote statewide in order to win all of the Electoral College votes requires them to appeal to a wider range of interests and it forces moderation and compromise. For example, a candidate that only needs to win an urban district could ignore rural needs so there is less reason to compromise. Worse, if they do compromise, they could inspire a more purist primary opponent. When they get to Washington, the pressure is not to compromise so gridlock is set in concrete.

Swing state Colorado will escape the controversy since Democrats control both Houses and the governorship and commissions and courts thwarted gerrymandering in 2011. However, keep your eyes on RNC targeted Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida state legislatures.


(My column in the Sky Hi Daily News today)

For more, visit www.mufticforumespanol.blogspot.com