Monday, May 23, 2022

Hungary: CPAC's fantasyland

    https://www.vox.com/2022/5/19/23123050/hungary-cpac-2022-replacement-theory  

Such wide acceptance of replacement theory is becoming a threat to democracy itself.  This embrace of Viktor Orban of similar racist policies of anti-immigration and Hungarian ethnic domination also brings with it association with autocracy as a preferred method of governance instead of democracy. FOX's Tucker Carlson's enthusiasm for the autocratic ruler of Hungary inspired the US conservative pac,  CPAC to hold a conference in Hungary and plans more.  Hungary's Orban opens CPAC by telling conservatives "we need to coordinate the movement" of allies - CBS News    Tread lightly, CPAC.  You, too, will find yourself with not only the racist, anti-semitic white nationalism that is Orban's but saddled with his method of governing, which means no press freedom ( or press only permitted that is approved by Orban) and what we would consider in the US, a corrupt alliance between big business and government with rewards going to friends of Orban. An independent judiciary no longer exists.  Hungary is not like the US. Orban could be as racist and nationalist as he liked since 97% of the country is Magyar (Hungarian) and speaks Hungarian.  There are no large groups of minorities. That is not the US now and in the future. Takeover by someone like Orban appealing to white nationalists has not been. would not be, and will not be a peaceful process.  For US white nationalists, Hungary is a fantasyland.  The late Madeleine Albright, our beloved former secretary of state, tagged him as a fascist in the making in  2019. mostly because of his racism.  

Hungary: where editors tell reporters to disregard facts before their eyes | Hungary | The Guardian

Living With Corruption: An Examination of Viktor Orbán’s Hungary — COLUMBIA POLITICAL REVIEW (cpreview.org)

Sunday, May 22, 2022

Replacement theory is a danger to more than just African Americans ; it is a danger to democracy itself

 Replacement theory is a danger to more than just African  Americans. Victims in the past several years have included Jews, Hispanics,  and others.  It is also a danger to democracy and is a fuel that ignites the afterburners of autocracy. Yearning for autocracy and white domination are wedded and even promoted by influential elements in US media, like Tucker Carlson and FOX, and major conservative organizations. The embrace of Viktor Orban of similar racist policies also brings with it association with autocracy as a preferred method of governance instead of democracy.

 A recent Associated Press story began with a white older woman from Trinidad, Colorado, for over 400 years a corner of my state dominated by Hispanics.  She was held out as an example of a FOX Carlson fan who embraced the "replacement theory", a theory that Democrats were trying to replace white people with too many Hispanic immigrants and Jewish interests like George Soros were behind the effort. This theory, per a recent poll, is a belief that is held by one out of three Americans that those supporting more relaxed immigration policies on our southern border were promoting immigration because the goal was to replace white voters with brown ones at the polls. EXPLAINER: White 'replacement theory' fuels racist attacks | AP News

 The demographic shifts are due to a decline in white population growth, especially among the emerging new generations, and an increase in birth rates of those not white. . Theory or not, replacement theory is fueled by fear of loss of power by white people, who see demographics changing and it has become the tool of entertainers like Carlson and political movements like MAGA  dating to Tea Partiers to either gain advertisers or votes and or power from the like-minded.  I have long believed that such anger, fear, and hate supporting theories were embraced as the truth because the holders of fear, the angry, and the hateful, want to believe in them. This willfulness is fueled by dislike or fear of people who are not like them and exploited and enhanced by the power craven.   I have noticed there are times it has become more public, and other times it has diminished from the "breaking news" and media opinionists.It is raising its public voice again in the past few years.  President Biden said it best: about white nationalism  "It is a stain on the soul of America", in comments about those who have been victims of  a racist/replacement theorist mass killer in Buffalo,  It is wrongheaded thinking to think that victims are only African Americans, but Muslims, Jews, and Hispanics (of any Latin descent )The Decade's Top 10 Incidents of Hate (adl.org) 

 In the American past dating to the 1940s, the object of actions of hate has been directed to include Italians, Irish, and Catholics. Even in the midst of World War II, it existed, yet the rest of the nation saw the evil of tyrants who also exploited hate to rise to power and rationalize the aggression. This is one of those periods in American history that this undercurrent has risen to the surface from a fringe political movement to greater public acceptance and a degree of respectability. Nowhere is mainstream acceptance more evident that the outright embrace of those from CPAC of Vickor Orban, prime minister of Hungary.      https://www.vox.com/2022/5/19/23123050/hungary-cpac-2022-replacement-theory  

This update is also moved to a separate post Hungary: CPAC's fantasyland.:Such wide acceptance of replacement theory is becoming a threat to democracy itself.  This embrace of Viktor Orban of similar racist policies of anti-immigration and Hungarian ethnic domination also brings with it association with autocracy as a preferred method of governance instead of democracy. Hungary's Orban opens CPAC by telling conservatives "we need to coordinate the movement" of allies - CBS News    Tread lightly, CPAC.  You, too, will find yourself with not only the racist, anti-semitic white nationalism that is Orban's but saddled with his method of governing, which means no press freem ( or press only permitted that is approved by Orban) and what we would consider in the US, a corrupt alliance between big business and government with rewards going to friends of Orban.  Hungary is not like the US. Orban could be as racist and nationalist as he liked since 97% of the country is Magyar (HUngarian) and speaks Hungarian.  There are no large groups of minorities. That is not the US now and in the future. Takeover by someone like Orban appealing to white nationalists has not bee would not be and will be not be a peaceful process.  For US white naitonalists, Hungary is fantasyland.  The late Madeleine Albright, our beloved former secretary of state, tagged him as a fascist in the making in  2019. mostly because of his racism. 

The dishonesty and the use of fear of "others" of the Tucker Carlsons of this era, is the claim that Democrats want open borders to get more voters. This is illogical if you give it a minute of thought.  The demographic shifts we are seeing fueling this hate-filled racism are not because of some conspiracy to cause the demographic shift for political gain, It is the birth rate of those already here projected forward.. Immigration only speeds up the timeline  It takes years for even legal immigrants to achieve citizenship and vote. This is a long-term proposition at best and it does not mean such immigrants a decade from now will vote like Democrats.,  Democrats look at alarm now that Hispanics are leaving their camp today, though they are not becoming Republicans, either. More Hispanic Democrats in new poll considering leaving party than Hispanic Republicans | The Hill. The trend is like other immigrant waves that those assimilated into the existing population look to other concerns, including the economy, taxation,   religious, cultural,  and kitchen table issues to inspire their voting. Mass shooters do not stop first to ask if you are here for  400 years, voted for Trump in 2020, or if you arrived yesterday before firing away,  as those in El Paso learned. If you look Hispanic, you are their fair game.  Ginning up fear and loathing of Hispanics and others,, as the right-wing is doing, is no way to win new friends and gain supporters in the future.  It also makes the coming years of these demographic shifts bloody and full of friction with a population searching for a dictator/autocratic strong man to lead them out of such misery.  It has happened before and it is happening now.

Fascism: a warning from Madeleine Albright - Vox   Madeleine Albright on Viktor Orban : fascism is not an ideology; it’s a process for taking and holding power. A fascist is somebody who identifies with one group — usually an aggrieved majority — in opposition to a smaller group. It’s about majority rule without any minority rights. Which is why fascists tend to single out the smaller group as being responsible for or the cause of their grievances.

The important thing is that fascists aren’t actually trying to solve problems; they’re invested in exacerbating problems and deepening the divisions that result from them. They reject the free press and denounce the institutional structures within a society — like Congress or the judiciary.

I’d also add that violence is a crucial element of fascism. Whatever else it is, fascism involves the endorsement and use of violence to achieve political goals and stay in power. It’s a bully with an army, really.  (Her book was written before the violence of Jan.6)

Hungary: where editors tell reporters to disregard facts before their eyes | Hungary | The Guardian

Living With Corruption: An Examination of Viktor Orbán’s Hungary — COLUMBIA POLITICAL REVIEW (cpreview.org)

What the 2020 census will reveal about America: Stagnating growth, an aging population, and youthful diversity (brookings.edu)One reason for this is that the white population declines discussed above are more pronounced among the young. Since 2000, the under-18 white population registered absolute population losses. Meanwhile, millennials and their juniors were born during years of higher immigration. In many ways, from the 1980s through the early 2000s, immigrants and their children have contributed to both the growth and diversity of the nation’s younger population—however, more recently, natural increase rather than immigration is the primary source of Latino or Hispanic population growth. This has led to stark generational differences in diversity. About 60% of the U.S. population identifies as white alone; that figure reaches more than 70% for baby boomers and their elders, but only about half for the combined Gen Z and younger populations, with nearly two-fifths of those groups identifying as “Black or brown.”

The mass shooting in Buffalo is hitting home for some people in El Paso, Texas : NPR

Population: demographic situation, languages and religions | Eurydice (europa.eu)

How Viktor Orban Degraded Hungary’s Weak Democracy (thewire.in)

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Saturday, May 14, 2022

Rand Paul 's vote on aid to Ukraine divorced from reality.

  On this issue of military support to Ukraine, Rand Paul's vote against aid 5/15 caused delays in shipping when the timing was crucial, Paul is a fool and a danger to our national security interests because his position is divorced from reality. It is ideologically motivated and ignores a fact that bad actors in this world wish us ill. He may be consistent, but his myopic vision fails to recognize the impact of isolationism as a danger to US national security. This gets him mentioned in the press, and delays needed aid to Ukraine for nearly a week. This also ticks the heck out of the vast majority of Americans on both sides of the aisle who get it that if Russia is not stopped now with its, ambitions to take over their former eastern European satellites, Putin will simply move on to his next target. Failure to support Ukraine will also be a signal to China to move on Taiwan using the same imperial rationale as Putin did and to make the same major miscalculation. Take a page from World War II. Japan's and Hitler's belief isolationists would keep us out of war gave them a green light to proceed. They miscalculated. When the chips are down, and national security interests are threatened, in the US, ideology loses to defense and self-interest. We are more interconnected with trade and communications and nuclear-armed now than we were in 1939. This is a far more dangerous world than we were then. Russia's and China's nuclear arsenal and military power are formidable. Their reach spans oceans. Fortress America no longer exists. There is an old saying: A stitch in time saves nine. Support for Ukraine now saves our security interests from unraveling later. that lead us to more deadly conflicts

Senator Rand Paul single-handedly holds up $40bn US aid for Ukraine | US Senate | The Guardian

Zelensky welcomes U.S. Senate delegation led by McConnell to Kyiv in surprise visit (yahoo.com)



Monday, May 9, 2022

The fate of extreme laws out of step with public norms : tragedies and repeal

Update: June 24,  2022: As the Supreme Court demonstrates their being out of step with public opinion on gun safety yesterday and anticipated Roe v Wade overturn today, their public opinion support has sunk to 25%. Expect a revolt from the public as the Court no longer gets any respect. The revolt will take the form of state legislation, executive orders, and downright workarounds. Sadly, to avoid threats from those carrying concealed pistols, we will not be able to have airport-type scanners to keep wannabe killers and robbers out of our private shopping centers that ban armed visitors. https://news.gallup.com/.../confidence-supreme-court...

How the abortion underground is prepping for a post-Roe v. Wade world

What happens to laws that become out of step with social norms.. They eventually get repealed, but not before there is pain and suffering, or the unpopular law is ignored and unenforced.   That is the fate when many states or future federal laws are so extreme they are supported by relatively few or anti-abortion laws become federal.  Polls also show that the Alito draft which has no exceptions for rape, and incest, is only supported by a small minority of Americans, per a recent Pew poll.  https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2022/05/06/americas-abortion-quandary/.   A CBS poll show Roe v Wade retention is the highest in its history and women feel threatened . Most who support Roe see Supreme Court's potential overturn as a danger to women, other rights — CBS News poll - CBS News        So far how will this translate to the midterm vote and turnout?  Not much yet, but it may be too early to feel.  The problem are is with younger voters who do not see how voting can make a difference. CNN poll: The Supreme Court's draft opinion on Roe v. Wade hasn't shaken the midterm landscape - CNNPolitics     Pro-choice activists have their work cut out for them. 

Conversely, that extreme position banning abortion with no exceptions has 27 %, a very striking minority.  If overturning Roe triggers anti-abortion laws on the books in 22 states, many of those states have no exception for incest or rape, and some of them even have no exceptions for the life of the mother.  Thirteen of these extreme laws have no provisions for enforcement at this time.  https://www.businessinsider.com/trigger-law-states-failed-to-plan-for-end-of-roe-v-wade-2022-

Laws have been on the books calling adultery a crime, that marriage is only legal if it is between a man and a woman,  anti-gay practices,  or proposals that any woman or anyone assisting them is guilty of murder, subject to years in prison.    Such extreme laws have eventually been ignored, not enforced, or eventually overturned.   Until many of these laws were overturned,  history is ripe in fiction and in real-life politics of blackmail,  and many a  politician has had to resign once the banned deed was exposed or alleged. The recent Texas law enforced by vigilantes opens the door of blackmail wide open by giving legalized cover to accusers.. Many a woman or teenager has committed suicide to avoid facing prosecution or burning at the stake or torture or even public embarrassment, shame, social ostracism, or parental ire.    Much of the tragedies have happened within the recent memory of those of us over 50.  Nathanael Hawtnorn's "the Scarlet Letter" was required reading in school.  Even in the 1970s in my experience in a district attorney's office, the common attitude was that adultery was a crime but never persecuted as such, meaning not everything that is a crime is enforced by law authorities. No specific criminal penalty had been attached to the adultery law in Colorado, but finally, in 2013 that statute was repealed. Bill to repeal of Colorado adultery law signed – The Denver Post

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